撒哈拉以南非洲选举制度对流动政党制度的影响

IF 0.3 Q4 POLITICAL SCIENCE Otoritas-Jurnal Ilmu Pemerintahan Pub Date : 2022-10-31 DOI:10.26618/ojip.v12i2.7723
Assel Bekenova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这篇文章基于文献综述,研究了选举制度对撒哈拉以南非洲政党制度流动性的影响。大多数作者都指出了影响政党制度变化的制度和社会因素。同时,他们使用Laakso和taagpera和Rae指数对变量进行操作。然而,关于选举制度对政党间竞争模式的稳定性或变化的影响,文献中缺乏研究。这是因为,首先,最近开发的流动性指数相对新颖,其次,学者们希望使用已经广泛测试的,建立的测量方法。我们认为,与以前的研究不同,以前的研究分析的单位是政党,而不是政党制度。流动性指数将使我们能够预测多数或比例制度和全球指数得分将如何影响49个撒哈拉以南非洲国家政党制度的结构或流动性。研究结果表明,选举制度的变化显著影响了政党制度的流动性。研究结果表明,在49个撒哈拉以南非洲国家中,WGI和种族指标对政党制度的流动性产生了负面影响。这表明,政党制度越不稳定,政府的效率就越低。然而,主要假设的结果表明,改变选举制度对政党制度流动性的统计显著影响。换句话说,在选举领域进行的政治改革越多,政党制度的不稳定性指标就越高,根据萨托里政党制度的类型,政党制度将从一党制度急剧转变为两极分化的多元化或原子化的政党制度,或从一党制度轻微地转变为霸权主义或占主导地位的政党制度。
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The Effect of Electoral Systems on Fluid Party System in sub-Saharan Africa
The article, based on a literature review, examines the impact of electoral systems on the fluidity party system in sub-Saharan Africa. Most authors identify institutional and social factors influencing the change in party systems. At the same time, they use the indices Laakso and Taagepera and Rae to operationalize variable parties. However, there is a lack of research in the literature on electoral systems regarding its impact on stability or change of interparty competition patterns. This is due to, firstly, the relative novelty of the recently developed index of fluidity, and secondly, the desire of scholars to use already widely tested, established measures of measurement. We believe that, in contrast to previous studies, where the unit of analysis is the party and not the party system. The Index of Fluidity will allow us to predict how majoritarian or proportional systems and WGI scores will affect the structure or fluidity of party systems in 49 sub-Saharan African countries. The results of study indicate that the changes taking place in electoral systems have significantly affected the fluidity of party systems. The results of the study indicate that measures of WGI and ethnicity negatively affected fluidity of party systems in 49 sub-Saharan African countries. This suggests that the more unstable the party system, the more ineffective the government becomes. Whereas the results of the main hypothesis indicate a statistically significant effect of changing electoral systems on the fluidity of party systems. In other words, the more often political reforms are carried out in the electoral sphere, the higher the indicators of instability of party system, which, according to the typology of party system of Sartori, will change either radically from one-party to polarized pluralism or atomised party system or slightly from one-party to hegemonistic or predominant.
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自引率
33.30%
发文量
6
审稿时长
12 weeks
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