自然灾害造成的业务中断损失:以北岭地震为例的概念和方法问题

A. Rose, D. Lim
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引用次数: 233

摘要

摘要:本文提出了几种危害损失估计方法的改进,并将其应用于测量北岭地震后公用事业生命线中断造成的业务中断损失。分析表明,损失对业务弹性高度敏感。然后将结果与基于调查的估计进行比较,以尝试模型验证。
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Business interruption losses from natural hazards: conceptual and methodological issues in the case of the Northridge earthquake
Abstract This paper presents several refinements in a hazard loss estimation methodology and applies it to measuring business interruption losses from utility lifeline disruptions following the Northridge Earthquake. The analysis indicates that losses are highly sensitive to business resiliency. The results are then compared with survey-based estimates in an attempt at model validation.
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