确定在埃塞俄比亚Pawe医院接受直接观察短期治疗的结核病患者的生存模式

Tsehay Haile, Kasim Mohammed, Endeshaw Assefa
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摘要

摘要摘要:结核病(TB)仍然是一个公共卫生问题,也是十大主要死亡原因之一。本研究的目的是分析Pawe医院结核病患者在治疗期间的生存时间,并确定影响其生存的危险因素。本研究的数据来自于2009年9月至2010年1月在Pawe医院卫生中心直接观察短程治疗(DOTS)下的结核病患者登记簿。分析方法采用Kaplan-Meier法估计生存时间,采用Cox回归模型确定对结核病患者生存寿命有统计学显著影响的协变量。模型参数的估计是通过部分极大似然程序完成的。Cox回归模型的多变量分析表明,年龄、类别(患者类别)、初始体重和HIV状态对TB患者的生存寿命有统计学意义。另一方面,性别、婚姻状况和既往治疗史对结核病患者的生存经历没有影响。研究表明,84.5%的患者在8个月的抗结核治疗结束时仍然存活。根据研究结果,确定了导致结核病死亡的不同因素。患者建议结核合并感染者应了解本研究中确定的危险因素的危害,卫生工作者应在患者初始体重较低且艾滋病毒阳性时保持谨慎。
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Determinanet of the survival pattern of tuberculosis patients treated under directly observed treatment short course at Pawe Hospital, Ethiopia
Abstract Abstract: Tuberculosis (TB) is still a public health problem and amongst the top 10 leading causes of death. The objective of this study is to analyze the survival time of TB patients and identify the risk factors that influence their survival in Pawe Hospital during the treatment period. The data for this study are obtained from TB patients registered books from September 2009 to January 2010 under Directly Observed Treatment, Short-course (DOTS) at the health centers in Pawe Hospital. The analytical methodologies used were the Kaplan–Meier to estimate the survival time and Cox’s regression model to identify the covariates that have a statistically significant effect on the survival longevity of TB patients. The estimation of the model parameters was done by partial maximum likelihood procedures. The multivariate analysis of the Cox regression model gives that age, category (patient category), initial weight and HIV status have statistically significant effects on the survival longevity of TB patients. On the other hand, sex, marital status, and history of previous treatment have no impact on the survival experience of TB patients. The study shows that 84.5% of the patients were still alive at the end of 8 months of anti-TB treatment. Based on the result of the study, different factors are identified for the death of TB. Patients recommended that TB co-infected people should have awareness about the hazard of the risk factors identified in this study, and health workers should be cautious when a patient has lower Initial weight and HIV-positive status.
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