全球价值链对出口生存的影响

IF 1.1 Q4 BUSINESS Foreign Trade Review Pub Date : 2023-06-18 DOI:10.1177/00157325231166237
N. Doan, Thanh Hà Lê
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文使用6743个国家/年的面板数据来研究2005-2014年期间参与全球价值链(GVC)对出口存活率的影响。全球价值链的参与是衡量附加值嵌入出口,从参考国家回顾和展望。实证结果表明,后向联系和前向联系对出口生存几率均有正向影响;这些影响是持续的,并随着时间的推移而增加,当考虑到内生性问题时,它们变得更加明显。在政策方面,上述研究结果表明,各国政府应实施政策,将国家升级为全球价值链一体化,以增强出口的可持续性。JEL代码:F10, F14, C41
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The Effects of Global Value Chain on Export Survival
This article uses panel data with 6,743 country-year observations to investigate the effects of participation in the global value chain (GVC) on export survival rate for the period 2005–2014. GVC participation is measured as the value addition embedded in exports, looking both backward and forward from a reference country. The empirical results show that both backward and forward linkages have positive effects on the chance of export survival; these effects are persistent and increasing over time, and they become more pronounced when taking the endogeneity issue into account. On the policy front, the preceding findings suggest that governments should implement policies to upgrade a country to GVC integration in order to enhance the sustainability of exports. JEL Codes: F10, F14, C41
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CiteScore
2.50
自引率
23.10%
发文量
37
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