评估下西非地区气候变化参数的变化

E. Merem, Y. Twumasi, J. Wesley, P. Isokpehi, S. Fageir, M. Crisler, C. Romorno, A. Hines, G. S. Ochai, S. Leggett, E. Nwagboso
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引用次数: 6

摘要

在21世纪,心胸狭窄的怀疑论者否认气候变化的存在,以及由此产生的破坏财产、流离失所和环境恶化等威胁城市福利的风险。在西非撒哈拉以南非洲地区,全球气候变化问题现在比以往任何时候都更加重要,因为该地区的脆弱性仍然很明显。因此,在过去几年中,西非下游地区继续成为恶劣天气灾害的中心。为此,有越来越多的证据表明,在尼日利亚、贝宁、多哥、加纳、科特迪瓦和塞内加尔的热带大草原、热带潮湿地区和沿海景观中,极端气候参数激增引发的周期性挑战引发了风险。在西非地区的这些地区,干旱、洪水、风暴潮、气温升高和温室气体排放等气候变化参数继续威胁着周围的生态。正如气候灾害引起了其他地区众多学者的注意一样,尽管该地区容易受到海平面上升、暴雨、沿海洪水和风暴潮的影响,但对该地区的研究却很少。在所有这些情况下,预测的气候变化趋势表明,整个地区的气温升高和恶劣天气条件持续分散。在灾害严重程度明显的情况下,本研究利用GIS、二手数据和描述性统计的混合尺度方法,对研究区域的气候变化威胁参数进行分析,重点分析研究区域的趋势、因素、影响和机构的努力,填补了这一文献空白。根据分析结果,结果显示气候变化风险和影响的普遍性,表现为洪涝灾害、干旱、温室气体排放、海平面上升、污染、环境退化和公民流离失所。由于社会经济和自然因素的影响,地理信息系统地图显示气候变化危害在不同尺度上逐渐蔓延到从尼日利亚到塞内加尔的各个地区。为了解决这一问题,本文提出了一些建议,如适应的必要性,设计有效的规划和政策在该地区。
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Appraising Variations in Climate Change Parameters Along the Lower West African Region
Narrow minded skeptics in the twenty first century deny the existence of climate change and the resultant risks threatening the welfare of cities through the destruction of properties, displacement and environmental degradation. The global climate change concern is now more important than ever in the sub Saharan African region of West Africa where the vulnerabilities remain obvious. Accordingly, in the last several years, the lower West African region continues to be an epicenter of inclement weather hazards. For that, there exists mounting evidence of risks based on recurrent challenges triggered by surge in extreme climate parameters in the savannahs, the tropical moist areas and the coastal landscapes in Nigeria, Benin, Togo, Ghana, Ivory Coast and Senegal. In these areas of the West Africa region, climate change parameters such as droughts, flooding, storm surge, and elevated temperature and greenhouse gas emissions continue to threaten the surrounding ecology. Just as climate hazards have captured the attention of various scholars in other areas, very little has been done to study the area despite its vulnerability to sea level rise, torrential rainfalls, coastal inundation and storm surge. In all these, the projected climate change trends point to continual dispersion of elevated temperature and evidence of harsh weather conditions all through the region. With the gravity of the hazards now obvious, this research fills that void in the literature, by analyzing climate change parameters threatening the study area with the use of mix scale methods of GIS, secondary data, and descriptive statistics with focus on the trends, factors, impacts and efforts of the institutions. Taking a cue from the analysis, the results show the prevalence of climate change risks and impacts in the form of flooding hazards, droughts, greenhouse gas emission, sea level rise, pollution, environmental degradation and displacement of citizens. With the impacts attributed to socio-economic and physical elements, the GIS mapping reveals a gradual spreading of climate change hazards under different scales to various areas across the region from Nigeria to Senegal. To remedy the issue, the paper proffers some suggestions such as the need for adaptation, the design of efficient planning and policy in the region.
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