气候变化对恰蒂斯加尔邦巴斯塔尔地区水稻产量的影响

Devendra Kumar Kurrey, H. Pathak
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引用次数: 0

摘要

农业和林产品采集是巴斯塔尔地区的经济基础。巴斯塔尔地区广泛种植水稻和玉米。巴斯塔尔地区76%的农作物种植了水稻。为了评估气候变化对水稻产量的影响,本文采用简单的普通最小二乘(OLS)回归分析。观测结果表明,6 ~ 9月降水对作物产量的影响为正,季风降水对作物产量的影响为负。巴斯塔尔地区以雨养为主,靠近水资源的地区只有2.14%可以灌溉,灌溉不足对作物产量影响很大,因此,萌发期和孕穗期(6 - 8月)降雨量的增加将有助于提高作物产量。如果在收获的月份或之前下雨,会破坏直立的作物,给生产造成巨大的损失。年最高气温的升高对水稻产量有负向影响,而年最低气温每升高一个百分点,水稻产量就会增加一个百分点。水稻是热带和亚热带作物,因此,结果与最高温度呈正相关,过多的降雨会对作物产量产生负或正影响。研究建议培育能承受最低温度的品种。
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Impact of Climate Change on Paddy Yield in Bastar District of Chhattisgarh
Agriculture and forest product collection are the economic foundations of the Bastar district. Paddy and maize are widely grown in the Bastar region. Paddy is grown in 76 percent of the gross cropped area in Bastar district. To assess the impact of climate change on paddy productivity a simple ordinary least square (OLS) Regression analysis have been analysed. Observation revealed that the rainfall during the month of June to September affected the crop yield positively, Monsoon rainfall affects more the crop yield negatively. Bastar district is mainly rainfed and only 2.14 percent area near to the water resources can be irrigated, the lack of irrigation effects the crop yield greatly hence, any increase in rainfall in the germination and booting period (June to August) will help in increase the productivity of crop. The month of or before harvesting if gets rain, it can destroy the standing crop and cause huge lose to the production.An increase in annual maximum Temperature affects the paddy crop productivity negatively whereas productivity increases with every per cent increase with the annual minimum Temperature. Paddy is a tropical and subtropical crop hence, the result had positive relationship with maximum Temperature, Excessive rainfall can negatively or positively impact crop yield.The study suggests to develop such varieties which can withstand with minimum Temperature.
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