19世纪90年代美国雷电造成的死亡、伤害和损失与20世纪90年代的比较

R. Holle, R. López, B. C. Navarro
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引用次数: 80

摘要

过去的几项研究已经确定,在上个世纪,闪电造成的人口加权死亡率降低了10倍。原因可以归结为许多因素,但没有一个因素可以通过大型数据集进行详细量化。根据1895年的一个数据源提供的描述,对1891年至1894年美国数千起闪电造成的死亡、受伤和财产损失报告进行了人工分析。100年后,即1991年至1994年,NOAA出版的《风暴数据》中的信息也进行了类似的人工分析。比较表明,人们遭受雷击风险的减少与人口从农村地区向城市地区的转移相吻合。在相隔100年的两个时期之间,被闪电损坏的财产类型的主要变化也被显示出来。此外,研究结果还确定了闪电对人和物体造成影响的事件类型的重大变化。这些信息有助于制定更好的雷电安全和教育指南。
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Deaths, injuries, and damages from lightning in the United States in the 1890s in comparison with the 1990s
A reduction by a factor of 10 in the population-weighted rate of lightning-caused deaths over the last century has been determined in several previous studies. The reasons have been attributed to a number of factors, but none have been quantified in detail with a large dataset. Several thousand lightning-caused deaths, injuries, and reports of property damage in the United States from 1891 to 1894 were analyzed manually from descriptions provided by an 1895 data source. A similar manual analysis was made of information in the NOAA publication Storm Data 100 yr later, from 1991 to 1994. Comparisons show that the decrease in lightning risk to people coincides with a shift in population from rural to urban regions. Major changes in the types of property damaged by lightning between the two periods 100 yr apart are also shown. In addition, the results identify significant shifts in the kinds of incidents in which people and objects are impacted by lightning. This information can help in the development of better guidelines for lightning safety and education.
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