石油输出国组织(OPEC)国际储备的决定因素

O. Bada, K. Adetiloye, F. Olokoyo, Grace Ukporhe
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引用次数: 0

摘要

石油输出国组织(OPEC)成员国一直是有关国际市场原油价格和供应的新闻热点。造成这种情况的经济原因之一是流动性和各国积累国际储备的愿望。本文以保持国际储备的动机为背景,考察了卡特尔之间国际储备的决定因素。对于2005年至2018年的数据,采用广义矩量方法(Sy - GMM)系统测试的变量是通货膨胀、汇率、油价、原油依赖、经济危机等。结果和产出表明,通货膨胀对外部和内部都有负面影响,而外国直接投资流入则有负面影响。经济危机和经济开放度正显著,而油价和汇率不是国际储备积累的显著决定因素。报告建议成员国在经济危机期间最大限度地利用可获得的机会来积累储备,这将使它们能够从依赖原油出口转向包括其他产品出口,并提高开放程度,使经济开放竞争,使经济更加强大。
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Determinants of International Reserves Among Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC)
Member countries of the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) are always in the news regarding the prices and supply of crude oil to the international market. One of the economic reasons for this is liquidity and the desire to accumulate international reserves by the respective countries. This paper examined the determinants of international reserves among the cartel against the backdrop of the motives for keeping reserves. With data from 2005 to 2018, the adopted variables that were tested with the system of generalised methods of moments (Sy‑GMM) are inflation, exchange rates, oil prices, crude oil dependence, economic crises and others. The results and outputs show that inflation was negatively impactful externally and internally, while FDI inflows recorded negative significance. Economic crises and economic openness were positively significant, while oil prices and exchange rates were not significant determinants of international reserves accumulation. The paper recommends the maximisation of opportunities available by members during economic crises to accumulate reserves that will enable them to diversify from dependence on crude oil exports to include other products and a higher level of openness to open the economy up for competition to make the economies stronger.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
26
审稿时长
16 weeks
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