最优货币危机

Franklin Allen, Douglas Gale
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引用次数: 102

摘要

在之前的大多数文献中,有缺陷的政府政策都被用来解释货币危机。除了少数例外,银行体系的作用被忽视了。经验证据表明,近几十年来,银行业危机与货币危机一直存在关联。这里建立了一个模型,其中“双”危机是由低资产回报造成的。汇率的大幅波动是可取的,因为它能让一国的银行储户与国际债券市场更好地分担风险。还调查了使用以外国储备货币计价的短期债务的理由。
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Optimal currency crises

Flawed government policies have been offered as an explanation for currency crises in most of the previous literature. With few exceptions, the role of the banking system is ignored. Empirical evidence suggests that in recent decades banking crises and currency crises have been linked. A model is developed here where the “twin” crises result from low asset returns. Large movements in exchange rates are desirable to the extent that they allow better risk-sharing between a country's bank depositors and the international bond market. The rationale for using short-term debt denominated in a foreign reserve currency is also investigated.

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