面对消费者预期后悔的产品线设计

Tianxin Zou, Bo Zhou, Baojun Jiang
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引用次数: 15

摘要

消费者在选择不同的产品时,往往不确定自己对产品质量的评价,只有在购买和使用产品后才会知道自己的评价。因此,一些消费者可能会经历购买过量或购买不足的后悔,这取决于他们购买的是比他们知道自己的真实价值时选择的质量水平更高还是更低。当消费者预期到他们潜在的购后后悔时,他们的购买决定可能会受到影响。我们的分析表明,当消费者的超买后悔情绪不强烈时,超买后悔情绪会降低企业的利润,但当消费者的超买后悔情绪不强烈时,超买后悔情绪会使企业受益。当企业对其产品线进行最优设计时,如果消费者的预期后悔增加(减少)了企业的利润,那么其产品之间的质量差异就会变大(变小)。令人惊讶的是,虽然预期后悔倾向于降低消费者的效用,但在均衡中,预期后悔的存在可以增加消费者的预期剩余。我们进一步研究了企业何时应该允许消费者通过支付补货费来退货,以及最优补货费如何随消费者对两种后悔行为的倾向而变化。我们还通过实验证明,消费者的购买不足和购买过度后悔倾向是不同的,并且会受到企业信息的影响。
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Product-Line Design in the Presence of Consumers’ Anticipated Regret
Consumers are often uncertain about their valuations for product quality when choosing among different products and will learn their valuations only after buying and using a product. Some consumers may thus experience over-purchase or under-purchase regret, depending on whether they have purchased a higher or lower quality level than what they would have chosen had they known their true valuations. When consumers anticipate their potential post-purchase regret, their purchase decisions may be affected. Our analysis shows that over-purchase regret lowers the firm’s profit, but under-purchase regret can benefit the firm if consumers’ over-purchase regret is not strong. When the firm optimally designs its product line, the quality difference between its offerings will be larger (smaller) if consumers’ anticipated regret increases (reduces) its profit. Surprisingly, although anticipated regret tends to reduce consumers’ utility, in equilibrium, the presence of anticipated regret can increase consumers’ expected surplus. We further examine when the firm should allow consumers to return their products by paying a restocking fee, and how the optimal restocking fee will change with consumers’ propensities for the two types of regret. We also experimentally show that consumers’ propensities of under-purchase and over-purchase regret are different and can be influenced by the firm’s messages.
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