状态空间模型参数估计的粒子方法

N. Kantas, A. Doucet, Sumeetpal S. Singh, J. Maciejowski, N. Chopin
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引用次数: 387

摘要

非线性非高斯状态空间模型在统计学、计量经济学、信息工程和信号处理中无处不在。粒子方法,也称为顺序蒙特卡罗(SMC)方法,为相关的状态推理问题提供了可靠的数值近似。然而,在大多数应用程序中,感兴趣的状态空间模型还依赖于需要从数据中估计的未知静态参数。在这种情况下,标准粒子方法失效,有必要依赖更复杂的算法。本文的目的是对粒子方法进行全面的回顾,这些方法已被提议在状态空间模型中执行静态参数估计。我们讨论了这些方法的优点和局限性,并举例说明了它们在简单模型上的性能。
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On Particle Methods for Parameter Estimation in State-Space Models
Nonlinear non-Gaussian state-space models are ubiquitous in statistics, econometrics, information engineering and signal processing. Particle methods, also known as Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, provide reliable numerical approximations to the associated state inference problems. However, in most applications, the state-space model of interest also depends on unknown static parameters that need to be estimated from the data. In this context, standard particle methods fail and it is necessary to rely on more sophisticated algorithms. The aim of this paper is to present a comprehensive review of particle methods that have been proposed to perform static parameter estimation in state-space models. We discuss the advantages and limitations of these methods and illustrate their performance on simple models.
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