北保加利亚黑海沿岸灾害风险评估

Antoaneta Frantzova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自然灾害综合风险评估方法一直是近年来研究的热点问题。对风险评估过程进行了全面的解释,并将其应用于可能造成灾难的地质灾害(如滑坡、地震和海啸)。获得保加利亚东北部一些地球物理和地质风险的复杂风险等级是主要目标。这样做是为了清楚地确定许多危险、它们的影响、处于危险中的因素、暴露和脆弱性,以及分析所产生的次要事件。在实践中,第一次使用了一种全面的风险评估方法,它包含了风险感知的思想。该方法的适应性使结果能够以风险矩阵或风险概况的形式呈现。这取决于需要解决的任务、挑战和科学难题以及专家的判断。研究结果具有较强的实用性和可持续性。
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Disaster Risk Assessment of North Bulgarian Black Sea Coast
Abstract The methodology of comprehensive risk assessment for natural disasters has been the subject of recent research. The risk assessment process is thoroughly explained and applied to geological hazards (such as landslides, earthquakes, and tsunamis) that have a potential for calamity. Obtaining a complicated risk level for a few geophysical and geological risks in northeast Bulgaria is the major goal. It has been done to clearly identify the many dangers, their effects, the elements at risk, exposure, and vulnerability, as well as to analyze the secondary events that were generated. For the first time in practice, a thorough risk assessment approach is used, and it incorporates the idea of risk perception. The methodology’s adaptability enables the presentation of the results as either a risk matrix or a risk profile. It depends on the tasks, challenges, and scientific puzzles that need to be solved as well as expert judgment. The outcome showed strong practical applicability and sustainability.
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