具有时滞的中国股市的Pearson相关和传递熵

Shaowei Peng, Wenchen Han, Guozhu Jia
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引用次数: 9

摘要

两个时间序列之间的相关性,包括线性Pearson相关和非线性传递熵,引起了人们的广泛关注。在这项工作中,我们研究了引入时间延迟和滚动窗口的多个股票数据之间的相关性。在大多数情况下,Pearson相关性和传递熵具有相同的趋势,其中较高的相关性为预测从一只股票到另一只股票的未来趋势提供了更多的信息,但较低的相关性提供的信息较少。考虑到传递熵的计算复杂性和Pearson相关性的简单性,使用带时滞的线性相关和滚动窗口来量化股票之间的互信息是一种鲁棒且简单的方法。当两只股票之间存在高度相关性时,使用互信息的长短期记忆方法所做的预测优于仅使用自我信息所做的预测。
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Pearson correlation and transfer entropy in the Chinese stock market with time delay

Correlations between two time series, including the linear Pearson correlation and the nonlinear transfer entropy, have attracted significant attention. In this work, we studied the correlations between multiple stock data with the introduction of a time delay and a rolling window. In most cases, the Pearson correlation and transfer entropy share the same tendency, where a higher correlation provides more information for predicting future trends from one stock to another, but a lower correlation provides less. Considering the computational complexity of the transfer entropy and the simplicity of the Pearson correlation, using the linear correlation with time delays and a rolling window is a robust and simple method to quantify the mutual information between stocks. Predictions made by the long short-term memory method with mutual information outperform those made only with self-information when there are high correlations between two stocks.

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