Deba R. Mohanty, Amiya Kumar Mohapatra, Sasikanta Tripathy, Rahul Matta
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Nexus between foreign exchange rate and stock market: evidence from India
This study examines the impact of foreign exchange rate fluctuations on various NSE capitalized indices of India. Five exchange rates were chosen based on trading contracts in the currency derivative segment of NSE. These exchange rates are US Dollar-Indian Rupee (USD/INR), Euro-Indian Rupee (EUR/INR), Great Britain Pound-Indian Rupee (GBP/INR), Chinese Yuan-Indian Rupee (CNY/INR) and Japanese Yen-Indian Rupee (JPY/INR), which are used as a regressor in this study. The data of NSE Nifty large-cap 100, Nifty mid-cap 100 and Nifty small-cap from December 1, 2012 to December 1, 2022 was considered for the study. GARCH (1, 1) model was used to analyze the nexus between exchange rate fluctuations and capitalized indices, and it was further validated by DCC GARCH to evaluate the volatility spillover. The result shows that exchange rate fluctuations have a positive effect on stock market volatility along with a varying degree of incidence on small-cap, mid-cap, and large-cap. DCC α has been found to be significant in USD & GBP for small-cap, and GBP & CNY for mid-cap. On the other hand, USD, Euro, CNY and JPY have a significant impact on the large-cap index in the short-run. Further, it is found that there is long-run spillover effect (DCC β) of exchange rates on all capitalized indices of the Indian stock market, and it is highest in in the large-cap case.
期刊介绍：
The international journal “Investment Management and Financial Innovations” encompasses the results of theoretical and empirical researches carried out both on macro- and micro-levels, concerning various aspects of financial management and corporate governance, investments and innovations (including using of quantitative methods). It is focused on the international community of financiers, both academics and practitioners. Key topics: financial and investment markets; government policy and regulation; corporate governance; information and market efficiency; financial forecasting and simulation; financial institutions: investment companies, investment funds, investment banks, hedge funds, private pension funds; objects of real and financial investing; financial instruments and derivatives; efficiency of investment projects; econometric and statistic methods in project management; alternative investments; ratings and rating agencies.
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