德尔菲法:一种用于选址规划的战略决策模型

Hossein Azani, Reza Khorramshahgol
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引用次数: 33

摘要

区位决策对一个机构的效率和成功有着重要的影响。组织的位置不仅影响其有效竞争的能力,还影响其交通成本、劳动力成本、员工士气、公共关系等。地点的决定是基于多重标准的,其中至少有一些是无形的,甚至是情感上的。本研究提出了分析德尔菲法(ADM),该方法允许将无形因素和有形因素纳入决策过程。该研究说明了ADM在选址规划中的应用。ADM的优势在于它整合了两种强大的方法:德尔菲法(一种广泛使用的预测和规划工具)和层次分析法(一种用于多准则决策的数学模型)。
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Analytic Delphi Method (ADM): A strategic decision making model applied to location planning

Location decisions have a significant impact on the efficiency and success of an institution. Where an organization is located affects not only its ability to compete effectively but also itstransportation costs, labor costs, employee morale, public relations, etc. Location decisions are based on multiple criteria at least some of which are intangible, even emotional. This study proposes the Analytic Delphi Method (ADM), which permits the incorporation of intangible as well as tangible factors into the decision making process. The study illustrates ADM's application to location planning. ADM's strength lies in its integration of two strong methodologies: the Delphi method (a widely used forecasting and planning tool) and the Analytic Hierarchy Process (a mathematical model for multicriteria decision making).

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