交叉训练的消防医务人员对医疗呼叫和火灾事件的响应:一种三状态空间排队问题的快速算法

Cheng-hao Hua, Arthur J. Swersey
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引用次数: 2

摘要

问题定义:我们专注于建模和评估一个紧急服务系统,在这个系统中,交叉训练的消防医务人员汇集在一起,对消防呼叫和医疗紧急情况做出反应。学术/实践相关性:在过去近四十年中,美国的消防需求急剧下降,而紧急医疗呼叫却激增。随着形势的变化,城市面临着关闭消防站以减少预算的压力。我们在成本节约和响应时间性能方面评估实施消防医疗系统的替代方案。方法:交叉训练的消防医疗单位可能处于以下三种状态之一:可用,忙于紧急医疗事件,或忙于消防呼叫。火力-医疗系统的精确模型具有指数复杂度。我们开发了一种具有线性复杂性的快速近似算法,可用于解决任何规模的三态问题。结果:我们的近似算法产生响应时间和单位工作负载的准确预测,并提供快速的解决方案时间。我们将我们的模型应用于明尼苏达州圣保罗的消防医疗系统,并发现预测和实际平均响应时间之间的密切一致。传统的系统需要多33%的人员才能达到相同的平均响应时间。在敏感性分析中,我们表明消防医疗系统在呼叫率和联合单位数量的广泛值范围内优于传统系统。管理启示:明尼苏达州圣保罗的消防医疗系统每年节省300多万美元。消防医疗系统的最大好处是缩短了对医疗紧急情况的反应时间。我们还表明,在包含独立引擎单元的消防医疗系统中,将独立引擎转换为消防医疗单元是有利的。我们的快速近似算法甚至可以应用于实施消防医疗系统的最大城市,以改善资源部署并降低成本。
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Cross-Trained Fire-Medics Respond to Medical Calls and Fire Incidents: A Fast Algorithm for a Three-State Spatial Queuing Problem
Problem definition: We focus on modeling and evaluating an emergency service system in which cross-trained fire-medics are pooled and respond to both fire calls and medical emergencies. Academic/practical relevance: Fire demand in the United States has decreased dramatically in the last nearly four decades, whereas emergency medical calls have surged. With this changing landscape, cities are under pressure to reduce their budgets by closing fire stations. We evaluate the alternative of implementing a fire-medic system in terms of cost savings and response time performance. Methodology: A cross-trained fire-medic unit may be in one of three states: available, busy at an emergency medical incident, or busy at a fire call. An exact model for the fire-medic system has exponential complexity. We develop a fast approximation algorithm that has linear complexity and can be used to solve three-state problems of any size. Results: Our approximation algorithm yields accurate predictions of response times and unit workloads and provides rapid solution times. We apply our model to the fire-medic system in St. Paul, MN, and find close agreement between predicted and actual average response times. A traditional system would require 33% more personnel to achieve about the same average response times. In sensitivity analyses, we show that the fire-medic system outperforms a traditional system over a wide range of values for call rates and number of joint units. Managerial implications: The fire-medic system in St. Paul, MN, saves more than three million dollars annually. The greatest benefit of the fire-medic system is in reducing response times to medical emergencies. We also show that in a fire-medic system that includes separate engine units, it is advantageous to convert the separate engines to fire-medic units. Our fast approximation algorithm can be applied even in the largest cities that implement fire-medic systems to improve resource deployment and reduce costs.
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