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Introduction to Special Section on Data-Driven Research Challenge 数据驱动的研究挑战》专题介绍
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2023.1232
Gad Allon
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引用次数: 0
Food Donations, Retail Operations, and Retail Pricing 食品捐赠,零售业务和零售定价
Pub Date : 2023-02-06 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2022.1185
John Lowrey, T. Richards, S. Hamilton
Problem definition: For grocery retailers, managing perishable food that is nearing expiry is a major challenge. Donating food to food banks is socially responsible, as it improves local communities and reduces waste generation. It also diverts food to a secondary, quality-differentiated market. Academic/practical relevance: In this paper, we quantify the economic impacts of this secondary market for food by examining donation and pricing behaviors for competing retailers. Methodology: We use a structural model of price-discriminating oligopoly retailers to study the effect of food donations on store and category-level demand and equilibrium prices. Empirically, we estimate the food donation effect using a unique data set of food donations and sales for several categories of perishable foods across two major retail chains that compete in the same market. Results: The competitive effects of food donations follow from the price-discrimination logic. First, food donations create a direct demand effect. Donations raise the average quality of products on display, shifting demand curves inward and rotating them clockwise (e.g., more inelastic). Second, food donations create a market enhancement effect, softening price competition and raising equilibrium prices among competing retailers. Managerial implications: Food donations increase food prices and store profits, tying the socially responsible option to an economic benefit. This study contributes a new type of reuse operation to the literature on closed-loop supply chains. Funding: Funding from the Agriculture and Food Research Initiative (National Institute for Food and Agriculture, U.S. Department of Agriculture) [Grant 2020-67021-31377] is acknowledged. Supplemental Material: The online supplement is available at https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1185 .
问题定义:对于杂货零售商来说,管理即将过期的易腐食品是一项重大挑战。向食物银行捐赠食物是一种社会责任,因为它改善了当地社区,减少了废物的产生。它还将食品转移到二级、质量差异化的市场。学术/实践相关性:在本文中,我们通过研究竞争零售商的捐赠和定价行为来量化食品二级市场的经济影响。方法:我们使用价格歧视寡头垄断零售商的结构模型来研究食品捐赠对商店和类别级需求以及均衡价格的影响。根据经验,我们使用一组独特的数据集来估计食品捐赠效应,这些数据集包括在同一市场上竞争的两家主要零售连锁店的几类易腐食品的食品捐赠和销售。结果:食品捐赠的竞争效应遵循价格歧视逻辑。首先,食品捐赠产生了直接的需求效应。捐赠提高了展出产品的平均质量,使需求曲线向内移动并顺时针旋转(例如,更无弹性)。其次,食品捐赠产生了市场增强效应,软化了价格竞争,提高了竞争零售商之间的均衡价格。管理启示:食品捐赠提高了食品价格和商店利润,将对社会负责的选择与经济利益联系起来。本研究为闭环供应链的文献提供了一种新型的重用操作。资助:农业和食品研究计划(美国农业部国家食品和农业研究所)的资助[赠款2020-67021-31377]得到认可。补充材料:在线补充材料可在https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1185上获得。
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引用次数: 2
The Design of Optimal Pay-as-Bid Procurement Mechanisms 最优按投标付费采购机制设计
Pub Date : 2023-01-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3785023
Je-ok Choi, D. Sabán, G. Weintraub
Problem definition: We consider the mechanism design problem of finding an optimal pay-as-bid mechanism in which a platform chooses an assortment of suppliers to balance the tradeoff between two objectives: providing enough variety to accommodate heterogeneous buyers, yet at low prices. Academic/practical relevance: Modern buying channels, including e-commerce and public procurement, often consist of a platform that mediates transactions. Frequently, these platforms implement simple and transparent mechanisms to induce suppliers’ direct participation, which typically results in pay-as-bid (or first-price) mechanisms where suppliers set their prices. Methodology: We introduce a novel class of assortment mechanisms that we call k-soft reserves (k-SRs): If at least k suppliers choose a price below the soft-reserve price, then only those suppliers are added to the assortment; otherwise, all the suppliers are added. Results: We show the optimality of k-SRs for a class of stylized symmetric models to derive the intuition behind these mechanisms. Then, through extensive numerical simulations, we provide evidence of the robustness of k-SRs in more general and realistic settings. Managerial implications: Our results give intuitive and simple-to-use prescriptions on how to optimize pay-as-bid assortment mechanisms in practice, with an emphasis on public procurement settings. Funding: J. Choi thanks the Samsung Scholarship and Stanford Graduate School of Business for financial support. G. Weintraub thanks Joseph and Laurie Lacob for the support during the 2018–2019 academic year as a Joseph and Laurie Lacob Faculty Scholar at Stanford Graduate School of Business. Supplemental Material: The online appendices are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1180 .
问题定义:我们考虑的机制设计问题是找到一个最优的按出价付费机制,在这个机制中,平台选择各种各样的供应商来平衡两个目标之间的权衡:提供足够的品种以适应不同的买家,但价格低廉。学术/实践相关性:现代购买渠道,包括电子商务和公共采购,通常由一个中介交易的平台组成。通常,这些平台实施简单透明的机制来诱导供应商直接参与,这通常导致供应商设定价格的按出价付费(或首价)机制。方法:我们引入了一种新的分类机制,我们称之为k-软储备(k- srs):如果至少有k个供应商选择低于软储备价格的价格,那么只有这些供应商被添加到分类中;否则,将添加所有供应商。结果:我们展示了k- sr对一类程式化对称模型的最优性,以推导出这些机制背后的直觉。然后,通过广泛的数值模拟,我们提供了k- sr在更一般和现实设置中的鲁棒性的证据。管理启示:我们的研究结果为如何在实践中优化按投标付费分类机制提供了直观和易于使用的处方,重点是公共采购设置。资金:J. Choi感谢三星奖学金和斯坦福大学商学院提供的资金支持。G.温特劳布感谢约瑟夫和劳里·莱科布在2018-2019学年期间作为斯坦福大学商学院约瑟夫和劳里·莱科布教师学者的支持。补充材料:在线附录可在https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1180上获得。
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引用次数: 0
Asymmetric Information of Product Authenticity on C2C E-Commerce Platforms: How Can Inspection Services Help? C2C电子商务平台产品真伪信息不对称:检验服务如何帮助?
Pub Date : 2023-01-27 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2023.1186
Linqiu Li, X. Fang, Yun Fong Lim
Problem definition: We consider a customer-to-customer (C2C) platform that provides an inspection service. Uncertain about product authenticity, a seller sells a product through the platform. Before purchasing, a buyer obtains a signal of the product authenticity from the product’s price set by the seller. The platform’s inspection service can detect a counterfeit with a probability. If the product passes the inspection, the platform sends it to the buyer and charges the seller a commission fee. Otherwise, the platform returns it to the seller and charges the seller a penalty fee. Methodology/results: We develop a two-stage game-theoretical model. In the first stage, the platform designs a contract specifying the commission and penalty fees. In the second stage, the seller signals the product authenticity by setting a price and the buyer decides whether to purchase it. This results in a contract design problem that governs a signaling game. We find that the effect of inspection is beyond merely detecting counterfeits. The inspection, even an imperfect one, changes the signaling game’s structure and incentivizes the seller whose product is likely authentic to sell through the platform. This can only be achieved by carefully choosing the commission and penalty fees. Moreover, a larger platform’s expected profit does not imply a larger commission fee or price in equilibrium. Under some mild conditions, the optimal commission increases but the optimal penalty decreases as the platform’s inspection capability improves. Managerial implications: The inspection service is not widely available among leading C2C platforms as it is considered imperfect and costly. Our study suggests that its benefit may be underestimated in practice. Moreover, the inspection can eliminate the seller’s information rent and generate more revenue for the platform. This paper provides guidance on how to set commission and penalty fees when the inspection service is provided. Funding: L. Li is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [Grant 72071198] and the Hong Kong Polytechnic University Distinguished Postdoctoral Fellowship Scheme [Grant 1-YWC7]. X. Fang and Y. F. Lim are grateful for the support from the Lee Kong Chian School of Business, Singapore Management University [Maritime and Port Authority Research Fellowship and Retail Centre of Excellence Research Grant]. Y. F. Lim is supported by the Association of South-East Asian Nations Business Research Initiative Grant [Grant G17C20421], the Research Grants Council of Hong Kong [Grants 15501920 and 15501221], and the Key Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China [Grant 71931009]. Supplemental Material: The online appendices are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2023.1186 .
问题定义:我们考虑一个提供检验服务的客户对客户(C2C)平台。不确定产品真伪的卖家通过平台销售产品。在购买之前,买家从卖家设定的产品价格中获得产品真实性的信号。该平台的检测服务可以以一定的概率检测出假货。如果产品通过检查,平台将其发送给买家,并向卖家收取佣金。否则,平台会将其退还给卖家,并向卖家收取罚款。方法/结果:我们开发了一个两阶段博弈论模型。在第一阶段,平台设计一份合同,明确佣金和罚款。在第二阶段,卖方通过设定价格来表明产品的真实性,买方决定是否购买。这就导致了控制信号博弈的契约设计问题。我们发现,检查的作用不仅仅是发现假货。这种检查,即使是不完美的检查,也会改变信号游戏的结构,并激励那些产品可能是正品的卖家通过平台销售。这只能通过仔细选择佣金和罚金来实现。此外,较高的平台预期利润并不意味着较高的佣金或均衡价格。在一定条件下,随着平台检测能力的提高,最优调试量增大,最优惩罚量减小。管理意义:检查服务在领先的C2C平台中并不广泛使用,因为它被认为是不完善且昂贵的。我们的研究表明,它的好处在实践中可能被低估了。此外,检查可以消除卖家的信息租金,为平台创造更多的收入。本文就提供检验服务时如何设定佣金和罚款提供指导。基金资助:李磊获国家自然科学基金[基金资助:72071198]及香港理工大学杰出博士后奖学金计划[基金资助:1-YWC7]资助。方晓芳及林艳芳感谢新加坡管理大学李光前商学院[海事及港务管理局研究奖学金及零售卓越研究中心补助金]的支持。林毅峰获东南亚国家联盟商业研究计划基金[资助项目G17C20421]、香港研究资助局[资助项目15501920及15501221]及中国国家自然科学基金重点项目[资助项目71931009]资助。补充材料:在线附录可在https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2023.1186上获得。
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引用次数: 0
Believing in Analytics: Managers' Adherence to Price Recommendations from a DSS 相信分析:管理者对DSS价格建议的坚持
Pub Date : 2023-01-24 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2022.1166
Felipe Caro, Anna Sáez de Tejada Cuenca
Problem definition: We study the adherence to the recommendations of a decision support system (DSS) for clearance markdowns at Zara, the Spanish fast fashion retailer. Our focus is on behavioral drivers of the decision to deviate from the recommendation, and the magnitude of the deviation when it occurs. Academic/practical relevance: A major obstacle in the implementation of prescriptive analytics is users’ lack of trust in the tool, which leads to status quo bias. Understanding the behavioral aspects of managers’ usage of these tools, as well as the specific biases that affect managers in revenue management contexts, is paramount for a successful rollout. Methodology: We use data collected by Zara during seven clearance sales campaigns to analyze the drivers of managers’ adherence to the DSS. Results: Adherence to the DSS’s recommendations was higher, and deviations were smaller, when the products were predicted to run out before the end of the campaign, consistent with the fact that inventory and sales were more salient to managers than revenue. When there was a higher number of prices to set, managers of Zara’s own stores were more likely to deviate from the DSS’s recommendations, whereas franchise managers did the opposite and showed a weak tendency to adhere more often instead. Two interventions aimed at shifting salience from inventory and sales to revenue helped increase adherence and overall revenue. Managerial implications: Our findings provide insights on how to increase voluntary adherence that can be used in any context in which a company wants an analytical tool to be adopted organically by its users. We also shed light on two common biases that can affect managers in a revenue management context, namely salience of inventory and sales, and cognitive workload. Supplemental Material: The e-companion is available at https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1166 .
问题定义:我们研究了西班牙快时尚零售商Zara在清仓大减价时对决策支持系统(DSS)建议的遵守情况。我们的重点是决定偏离建议的行为驱动因素,以及偏离发生时的大小。学术/实践相关性:实施规定性分析的一个主要障碍是用户对工具缺乏信任,这导致了现状偏见。了解管理人员使用这些工具的行为方面,以及在收入管理环境中影响管理人员的特定偏见,对于成功推出至关重要。方法:我们使用Zara在七次清仓销售活动中收集的数据来分析经理们遵守DSS的驱动因素。结果:当产品预计在活动结束前售罄时,对DSS建议的依从性更高,偏差更小,这与库存和销售对经理来说比收入更重要的事实是一致的。当有更多的价格需要设定时,Zara自营店的经理更有可能偏离DSS的建议,而特许经营经理则相反,表现出更倾向于坚持的微弱趋势。两项旨在将重点从库存和销售转移到收入的干预措施有助于提高依从性和整体收入。管理意义:我们的发现提供了关于如何增加自愿遵守的见解,可以在任何公司希望其用户有机采用分析工具的情况下使用。我们还揭示了在收入管理环境中可能影响管理者的两种常见偏见,即库存和销售的突出性,以及认知工作量。补充材料:电子伴侣可在https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1166上获得。
{"title":"Believing in Analytics: Managers' Adherence to Price Recommendations from a DSS","authors":"Felipe Caro, Anna Sáez de Tejada Cuenca","doi":"10.1287/msom.2022.1166","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1166","url":null,"abstract":"Problem definition: We study the adherence to the recommendations of a decision support system (DSS) for clearance markdowns at Zara, the Spanish fast fashion retailer. Our focus is on behavioral drivers of the decision to deviate from the recommendation, and the magnitude of the deviation when it occurs. Academic/practical relevance: A major obstacle in the implementation of prescriptive analytics is users’ lack of trust in the tool, which leads to status quo bias. Understanding the behavioral aspects of managers’ usage of these tools, as well as the specific biases that affect managers in revenue management contexts, is paramount for a successful rollout. Methodology: We use data collected by Zara during seven clearance sales campaigns to analyze the drivers of managers’ adherence to the DSS. Results: Adherence to the DSS’s recommendations was higher, and deviations were smaller, when the products were predicted to run out before the end of the campaign, consistent with the fact that inventory and sales were more salient to managers than revenue. When there was a higher number of prices to set, managers of Zara’s own stores were more likely to deviate from the DSS’s recommendations, whereas franchise managers did the opposite and showed a weak tendency to adhere more often instead. Two interventions aimed at shifting salience from inventory and sales to revenue helped increase adherence and overall revenue. Managerial implications: Our findings provide insights on how to increase voluntary adherence that can be used in any context in which a company wants an analytical tool to be adopted organically by its users. We also shed light on two common biases that can affect managers in a revenue management context, namely salience of inventory and sales, and cognitive workload. Supplemental Material: The e-companion is available at https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1166 .","PeriodicalId":18108,"journal":{"name":"Manuf. Serv. Oper. Manag.","volume":"11 1","pages":"524-542"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"76664814","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 9
Impact of Modularity Design on Mobile App Launch Success 模块化设计对手机应用发布成功的影响
Pub Date : 2023-01-13 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2022.1181
Moonwon Chung, Luv Sharma, M. Malhotra
Problem definition: Initial product design decisions are critically important for mobile apps, which show a relatively short time from launch to peak usage, thus providing a narrow window for success and no time for course correction based on market reaction. Mobile apps are designed using a highly modular architecture based on software development kits (SDKs), with SDK choices being sequentially determined along three dimensions—multiplicity (total number of SDKs), compatibility (SDK co-occurrence frequency), and novelty (SDK degree of newness to the developer). We evaluate the consequence of these decisions on initial market success in the context of mobile gaming app design. Academic/practical relevance: The resulting conceptual framework aids developers in determining the modularity of digital product development. Methodology: We formulate an instrumental variables least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model to estimate relationships of interest using a proprietary data set extracted from the application programming interface server of a leading mobile apps intelligence firm. Results: We find a negative impact of SDK multiplicity on initial success. High SDK compatibility can mitigate this negative effect, whereas high SDK novelty can exacerbate the negative effect of multiplicity. Post hoc analysis shows that business-to-consumer (B2C) communication features can also mitigate this negative impact. Managerial implications: Prior product modularity research has predominantly focused on physical products or relied on single-dimensional modularity measures. Our study conceptualizes modularity as multidimensional and investigates how these multidimensional SDK-based modularity choices impact the performance of a key category of digital products—mobile apps. We demonstrate that increasing multiplicity, essential in certain markets, negatively affects initial success. However, firms can enhance SDK compatibility, reduce SDK novelty, and use B2C communication channels to mitigate this negative impact. Supplemental Material: The online appendix is available at https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1181 .
问题定义:对于手机应用来说,最初的产品设计决策至关重要,因为从发布到使用高峰的时间相对较短,因此成功的窗口很窄,没有时间根据市场反应进行调整。移动应用是使用基于软件开发工具包(SDK)的高度模块化架构设计的,SDK的选择是按照三个维度依次确定的——多样性(SDK总数)、兼容性(SDK共存频率)和新颖性(SDK对开发人员的新鲜度)。我们将在手机游戏应用设计的背景下评估这些决定对初始市场成功的影响。学术/实践相关性:由此产生的概念框架有助于开发人员确定数字产品开发的模块化。方法:我们制定了一个工具变量最小绝对收缩和选择算子回归模型,使用从一家领先的移动应用程序情报公司的应用程序编程接口服务器提取的专有数据集来估计感兴趣的关系。结果:我们发现SDK多样性对初始成功有负面影响。高SDK兼容性可以缓解这种负面影响,而高SDK新颖性则会加剧多样性的负面影响。事后分析表明,企业对消费者(B2C)通信特性也可以减轻这种负面影响。管理启示:先前的产品模块化研究主要集中在物理产品或依赖于单一维度的模块化措施。我们的研究将模块化概念化为多维的,并调查了这些基于sdk的多维模块化选择如何影响数字产品的关键类别-移动应用程序的性能。我们证明,在某些市场中必不可少的日益增加的多样性会对最初的成功产生负面影响。然而,企业可以提高SDK的兼容性,减少SDK的新颖性,并使用B2C通信渠道来减轻这种负面影响。补充材料:在线附录可在https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1181上获得。
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引用次数: 1
Lemons, Trade-Ins, and Certified Pre-Owned Programs 柠檬,以旧换新和认证的二手项目
Pub Date : 2023-01-11 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2022.1176
Ximin Huang, A. Atasu, Necati Tereyağoğlu, L. B. Toktay
Problem definition: We study the economic rationale for certified pre-owned (CPO) programs and characterize the mechanism through which they influence secondary markets to create value for durable goods firms and consumers. Academic/practical relevance: Our study on understanding the market impact of CPO programs is highly relevant for industry given their prevalence in practice. Our work also contributes to the adverse selection literature in the context of the “lemons problem” by uncovering the mechanism underpinning CPO programs and how they improve market efficiency. Methodology: We use a game-theoretic durable goods model that captures CPO program features to identify how CPO programs improve market efficiency. We further investigate how CPO program size, as determined by program qualification criteria, plays a role in improving market efficiency. Results: We show that the mechanism underpinning CPO programs consists of two mutually reinforcing effects: a more effective segmentation of used product buyers through high- and low-quality product differentiation and a higher trade-in discount to used product owners. The former effect generates a higher revenue, which, in turn, allows for a higher trade-in discount. This translates to more high-quality products being traded in, more new products being purchased, and more used products being sold in the secondary market (i.e., increased market efficiency). We also show that these two effects are strengthened as the CPO program size increases. Finally, we test hypotheses deriving from our theoretical results in the context of the U.S. automotive industry. Our empirical findings are consistent with the conclusions of our theoretical work. Managerial implications: Durable goods firms can proactively manage their CPO programs by appropriately setting trade-in discounts and managing price discrimination between CPO and non-CPO products. CPO program qualification criteria can be used to alter CPO program size and, hence, the level of market efficiency improvement induced by these choices. Supplemental Material: The online appendix is available at https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1176 .
问题定义:我们研究了认证的二手(CPO)计划的经济原理,并描述了它们影响二级市场为耐用品公司和消费者创造价值的机制。学术/实践相关性:鉴于CPO项目在实践中的普遍存在,我们对了解CPO项目的市场影响的研究与行业高度相关。我们的工作还通过揭示CPO计划的机制以及它们如何提高市场效率,为“柠檬问题”背景下的逆向选择文献做出了贡献。方法:我们使用博弈论耐用品模型,捕捉CPO计划的特点,以确定CPO计划如何提高市场效率。我们进一步研究由项目资格标准决定的CPO项目规模如何在提高市场效率方面发挥作用。结果:我们发现CPO计划的机制由两种相互增强的效应组成:通过高质量和低质量的产品区分更有效地细分二手产品买家,以及对二手产品所有者的更高折价。前一种效应产生了更高的收入,这反过来又允许更高的折价交易。这意味着更多的高质量产品被交易,更多的新产品被购买,更多的二手产品在二级市场上被出售(即,提高了市场效率)。我们还表明,这两种效应随着CPO计划规模的增加而增强。最后,我们在美国汽车工业的背景下检验了从我们的理论结果中得出的假设。我们的实证研究结果与理论工作的结论是一致的。管理启示:耐用品公司可以通过适当设置以旧换新折扣和管理CPO与非CPO产品之间的价格歧视来主动管理其CPO计划。CPO项目资格标准可以用来改变CPO项目的规模,从而改变由这些选择引起的市场效率提高水平。补充材料:在线附录可在https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1176上获得。
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引用次数: 2
Robust Inventory Management: A Cycle-Based Approach 稳健的库存管理:基于周期的方法
Pub Date : 2022-12-28 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2022.1168
Yupeng Chen, G. Iyengar, Chun Wang
Problem definition: We study the robust formulation of an inventory model with positive fixed ordering costs, where the unfulfilled demand is either backlogged or lost, the lead time is allowed to be positive, the demand is potentially intertemporally correlated, and the information about the demand distribution is limited. Methodology/results: We propose a robust cycle-based policy that manages inventory by dividing the planning horizon into nonoverlapping inventory cycles, where an order is placed at the beginning of each cycle. Our policy selects the lengths and order quantities for all inventory cycles to minimize the worst-case total cost incurred over the planning horizon. When the uncertain demand belongs to a general polyhedral uncertainty set, the decisions in our policy can be computed by solving linear programs (LPs) for the backlogging model with any lead time and the lost-sales model with zero lead time; however, the number of LPs that need to be solved grows exponentially in the length of the planning horizon. In the special case where the uncertain demand belongs to a box uncertainty set, the decisions in our policy can be computed using a dynamic programming (DP) recursion whose complexity grows polynomially in the length of the planning horizon. We also propose a one-cycle look-ahead heuristic to handle large problem instances with a general polyhedral uncertainty set. This heuristic can be applied for both the backlogging and lost-sales models with any lead time, and it only requires solving LPs whose number grows quadratically in the length of the planning horizon. Results from extensive computational experiments clearly show that both a rolling-cycle implementation of our policy and the one-cycle look-ahead heuristic have very strong empirical performance. Managerial implications: Our robust cycle-based policy and the one-cycle look-ahead heuristic are conceptually simple and can accommodate multiple realistic features in inventory management problems. They provide a very effective approach to robust inventory management, especially in the lost-sales setting. Funding: Y. Chen was supported by a start-up grant from Nanyang Technological University. C. Wang was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [Grant 71802115] and the Tsinghua University Initiative Scientific Research Program. Supplemental Material: The online appendix is available at https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1168 .
问题定义:我们研究了一个具有正固定订购成本的库存模型的鲁棒公式,其中未满足的需求要么积压要么丢失,交货时间允许为正,需求可能是跨期相关的,并且关于需求分布的信息是有限的。方法/结果:我们提出了一个健壮的基于周期的策略,该策略通过将计划范围划分为不重叠的库存周期来管理库存,其中在每个周期的开始放置订单。我们的策略选择所有库存周期的长度和订单数量,以最小化在计划范围内发生的最坏情况总成本。当不确定需求属于一般多面体不确定性集时,我们的策略决策可以通过求解任意提前期的积压模型和零提前期的损失销售模型的线性规划(lp)来计算;然而,需要解决的有限合伙人数量在规划范围内呈指数级增长。在不确定需求属于盒子不确定集的特殊情况下,我们的策略决策可以使用动态规划(DP)递归来计算,其复杂度随规划视界的长度呈多项式增长。我们还提出了一种单周期前瞻性启发式方法来处理具有一般多面体不确定性集的大型问题实例。这种启发式方法可以应用于任何提前期的积压和销售损失模型,并且它只需要解决在规划范围内数量呈二次增长的有限合伙人。大量的计算实验结果清楚地表明,我们的策略的滚动周期实施和单周期前瞻性启发式都具有很强的经验性能。管理意义:我们健壮的基于周期的策略和单周期前瞻性启发式在概念上很简单,可以适应库存管理问题中的多种现实特征。它们为稳健的库存管理提供了一种非常有效的方法,特别是在销售损失的情况下。项目资助:陈毅获得南洋理工大学创业基金资助。国家自然科学基金[基金号:71802115]和清华大学自主科研计划资助项目。补充材料:在线附录可在https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1168上获得。
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引用次数: 0
Signaling Service Quality Through Queue Disclosure 通过队列披露信令服务质量
Pub Date : 2022-12-23 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2022.1170
Pengfei Guo, M. Haviv, Zhenwei Luo, Yulan Wang
Problem definition: We consider a single-server queueing system where service quality is either high or low. The server, who knows its exact quality level, can signal this quality information to customers by revealing or concealing its queue length. Based on this queue disclosure action and the observed queue length in the case of a revealed queue, customers decide whether to join the system. Academic/practical relevance: The queue disclosure action is regarded as a signal indicating the service quality. Methodology: We develop a signaling game and adopt the sequential equilibrium concept to solve it. We further apply the perfect sequential equilibrium as an equilibrium-refinement criterion. Results: In our baseline model, where all of the customers are uninformed of service quality, the pure-strategy perfect sequential equilibrium is always a pooling one, except at several discrete values of market size (measured by the potential arrival rate). When the market size is below a certain threshold, both high- and low-quality servers adopt queue concealment; otherwise, both types of servers adopt queue revelation. We also consider a general scenario in which the market is composed of both quality informed and uninformed customers. Under this setting, when the server conceals the queue, we can fully characterize customers’ equilibrium queueing strategies and the corresponding effective arrival rates. The unique sequential equilibrium outcome is still a pooling one when the market size is either below a lower threshold or above an upper threshold. A separating equilibrium can occur only when the market size falls between two thresholds; under that circumstance, the uninformed customers can infer the server’s quality from its queue disclosure behavior. Managerial implications: Under separating sequential equilibria, uninformed customers can fully infer the quality information and thus behave in an informed way. Unlike studies where queue disclosure is not regarded as a quality signal, our study reveals that the signaling effect of queue disclosure increases (decreases) the effective arrival rate of the high-quality (low-quality) server and also increases the customers’ total utility when the server is of low quality. Funding: P. Guo acknowledges the financial support from the Research Grants Council of Hong Kong [Grant 15502820]. The research of M. Haviv was funded by Israel Science Foundation [Grant 1512/19]. Z. Luo acknowledges the financial support from the Internal Start-up Fund of the Hong Kong Polytechnic University [Grant P0039035] and the National Natural Science Foundation of China[Grant 71971184]. Y. Wang’s work was supported by the Research Grants Council of Hong Kong [Grant 15505019]. Supplemental Material: The e-companion is available at https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1170 .
问题定义:我们考虑一个单服务器排队系统,其中服务质量要么高要么低。知道其确切质量级别的服务器可以通过显示或隐藏其队列长度向客户发出此质量信息的信号。基于此队列公开操作和在显示队列的情况下观察到的队列长度,客户决定是否加入系统。学术/实践相关性:队列披露行为被视为服务质量的信号。研究方法:建立一个信号博弈模型,并采用序列均衡的概念进行求解。我们进一步应用完美序贯均衡作为均衡-细化准则。结果:在我们的基线模型中,所有的客户都不知道服务质量,纯策略的完美顺序均衡总是一个汇集均衡,除了几个市场规模的离散值(由潜在到达率衡量)。当市场规模低于一定阈值时,优质服务器和劣质服务器均采用队列隐藏;否则,两种类型的服务器都采用队列揭示。我们还考虑了一种一般情况,即市场由了解质量的客户和不了解质量的客户组成。在此设置下,当服务器隐藏队列时,我们可以充分表征客户的均衡排队策略和相应的有效到达率。当市场规模低于较低阈值或高于较高阈值时,唯一的顺序均衡结果仍然是池化结果。只有当市场规模落在两个阈值之间时,分离均衡才会发生;在这种情况下,不知情的顾客可以从服务器的队列披露行为推断出服务器的质量。管理启示:在分离顺序均衡下,不知情的客户可以充分推断质量信息,从而以知情的方式行事。与不将队列披露视为质量信号的研究不同,我们的研究表明,当服务器质量较低时,队列披露的信号效应增加(降低)了高质量(低质量)服务器的有效到达率,也增加了客户的总效用。资助:郭鹏感谢香港研究资助局的资助[拨款号15502820]。M. Haviv的研究由以色列科学基金会资助[Grant 1512/19]。感谢香港理工大学内部启动基金[Grant P0039035]和中国国家自然科学基金[Grant 71971184]的资助。王毅的研究获得香港研究资助局资助[Grant 15505019]。补充材料:电子伴侣可在https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1170上获得。
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引用次数: 1
Flexibility and Consistency in Long-Term Care Rostering 长期护理值班的灵活性和一致性
Pub Date : 2022-12-19 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2022.1174
Vincent W. Slaugh, Alan Scheller-Wolf
Problem definition: We consider the rostering decisions—that is, the assignment of workers scheduled for a shift to units—of a long-term care facility. The facility’s objective is to minimize the monthly inconsistency level, a widely promoted quality metric representing the number of different caregivers working in each unit over one month. Methodology/results: We introduce simple rostering heuristics that prioritize either part-time or full-time workers and present a stochastic model of the repeated rostering problem to compare the performance of different strategies analytically. Our analysis shows that in order to minimize the inconsistency level, part-time workers should receive higher priority than full-time workers for assignment to their home units. We also establish an analytical upper bound for a threshold on the time horizon above which a policy giving assignment priority to part-time workers is guaranteed to outperform one giving priority to full-time workers. Using data from more than 15,000 shifts worked by nursing assistants at three nursing homes, we compare the actual rosters to the hindsight optimal consistency-maximizing schedules, demonstrating a significant opportunity for improvement. We then compare the performance of our rostering heuristics via trace-based simulation of the historical schedules. This reinforces the superiority of prioritizing part-time workers, yielding reductions in the inconsistency level between 20% and 30% compared with the historical rosters. Managerial implications: Contrary to popular guidance, our results show that managers should focus on part-time workers and assign them as consistently as possible. Even if some full-time workers are always assigned to their home units (because of preferences or work rules), assignment flexibility among the remaining full-time workers still enables significant improvements in the consistency of care. This flexibility among full-time workers helps because their higher work frequency tends to make a reassignment away from their home unit contribute less to inconsistency, because they are able to work multiple shifts in these nonhome units. Supplemental Material: The e-companion is available at https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1174 .
问题定义:我们考虑一个长期护理机构的排班决策,即安排工人轮班到单位的分配。该机构的目标是尽量减少每月的不一致水平,这是一个广泛推广的质量指标,代表了每个单位在一个月内工作的不同护理人员的数量。方法/结果:我们引入了简单的名册启发式方法,优先考虑兼职或全职工人,并提出了重复名册问题的随机模型,以分析比较不同策略的性能。我们的分析表明,为了尽量减少不一致的程度,兼职工人应该得到比全职工人更高的优先级分配到他们的家庭单位。我们还建立了一个时间范围阈值的分析上限,在该阈值之上,给予兼职工人优先分配的政策保证优于给予全职工人优先分配的政策。使用来自三家养老院的护理助理超过15,000个班次的数据,我们将实际的花名册与后见之明的最佳一致性最大化时间表进行了比较,证明了改进的重大机会。然后,我们通过基于跟踪的历史调度模拟来比较我们的名册启发式算法的性能。这加强了优先考虑兼职工人的优势,与历史名册相比,不一致性水平降低了20%到30%。管理启示:与流行的指导相反,我们的结果表明,管理者应该关注兼职员工,并尽可能始终如一地分配给他们。即使一些全职工人总是被分配到他们的家庭单位(因为偏好或工作规则),分配的灵活性,其余的全职工人仍然可以显著提高护理的一致性。全职员工的这种灵活性是有帮助的,因为他们更高的工作频率往往会使他们离开家庭单位的重新分配对不一致性的影响更小,因为他们能够在这些非家庭单位轮班工作。补充材料:电子伴侣可在https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1174上获得。
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引用次数: 0
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Manuf. Serv. Oper. Manag.
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