摩洛哥能源生产造成的空气污染的外部成本

F. Dettner , M. Blohm
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引用次数: 8

摘要

摩洛哥的电力需求正在增加,该国正在努力提高其能源独立性。此外,摩洛哥的空气质量水平被认为是中度不安全的,因为其PM2.5年平均浓度为33 μg/m3,超过了建议的10 μg/m3的最大值。可再生能源可能是降低该国有害空气污染水平、缓解气候变化和减少能源依赖的解决方案。将发电造成的空气污染的外部成本纳入能源决策过程可能导致从使用化石燃料转向使用更可持续、污染更少的可再生能源。为此,有必要对外部成本进行详细的量化。本文根据2015年摩洛哥能源系统不含大气化学建模的影响路径方法,对能源生产造成的空气污染对人类健康造成损害的成本进行了首次自下而上的计算,以给出成本数量级的初步估计和指导方针。2015年的总体外部成本估计在84亿至180亿欧元之间,相当于摩洛哥GDP的18%。
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External cost of air pollution from energy generation in Morocco

Morocco’s electricity demand is increasing and the country is struggling to improve its energy independence. Also, air quality levels in Morocco are considered moderately unsafe, as its PM2.5 annual mean concentration of 33 μg/m3 exceeds the recommended maximum of 10 μg/m3. Renewable energy could be the solution to reduce the country’s harmful air pollution levels, mitigate climate change and decrease energy dependence. Incorporating external cost of air pollution from electricity generation into energy decision making-processes could lead to a shift from the use of fossil fuels to more sustainable and less polluting renewable energy sources. For this to happen, a detailed quantification of external costs is necessary. This paper presents a first bottom-up calculation of the costs of damage to human health from air pollution resulting from energy generation, following the Impact Pathway Approach without atmospheric chemistry modelling for the Moroccan energy system of 2015, to give a first estimate and guideline on the order of magnitude of costs. The overall external costs for 2015 were calculated to be between 8.4 and 18 billion € 2015, equating to 18% of the Moroccan GDP.

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