预测和通知肉鸡养殖场CRD问题风险的主动模型

S. Maneewongvatana, S. Maneewongvatana
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引用次数: 0

摘要

慢性呼吸道疾病(CRD)是肉鸡养殖业排斥反应的主要原因。大量的CRD排斥是由于难以确定疾病的根本原因。此外,这种疾病很难从外部观察到。因此,农民无法制定策略来及时预防或减少大量感染鸡。本课题提出了一种基于关联规则技术的感染鸡数量预测模型,该模型可以连续预测肉鸡饲养周期各状态下的CRD排斥数。规则是从历史数据生成的,并提取特定农场的风险参数集。因此,对于每个州,如果农民有较高的CRD感染风险,他们可以获得通知。在此基础上,根据当前状态的风险参数集,发现了预防CRD问题的建议和规避措施。这一策略可以帮助农民及时降低CRD感染率。
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Proactive model to predict and notify the risk of CRD problem in broiler farms
CRD (Chronic Respiratory Disease) is the main cause of rejection in broiler farm industry. The large number of CRD rejections is due to the difficulty in determining root causes of disease. Moreover, this disease is very hard to be observed from outside. Hence, farmers cannot setup strategy to prevent or reduce the large number of infected chickens in time. This project proposed the proactive model for predicting the number of infected chickens by association rules technique that can continually predict the number of CRD rejections in every state of broiler raising cycle. The rules are generated from historical data and the set of risk parameters for a specific farm is extracted. Hence, for each state, farmers can obtain the notification if they have a risk to have high CRD infection. Moreover, the suggestion and avoidance to prevent the CRD problem is discovered based on the set of risk parameters of the current state. This strategy can help farmers to reduce the rate of CRD infection in time.
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