Microfoundational项目

K. Hoover
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引用次数: 72

摘要

宏观经济学本身的实质问题非常古老,可以追溯到经济学本身的起源。但专业人士对宏观经济学和微观经济学之间区别的自我意识,只能追溯到上世纪30年代。这种区别完全独立于凯恩斯,但凯恩斯的《通论》导致了它的广泛采用。微观经济学与宏观经济学之间的关系问题包含在宏观经济学是否需要微观基础的问题中,这一问题并不是在20世纪60年代或70年代首次提出的,正如人们有时认为的那样,而是追溯到宏观经济学的基础。事实上,至少有三个微观基础计划:一个是直接植根于凯恩斯自己在《通论》中的理论的马歇尔计划;固定价格一般均衡理论,其中包括帕廷金、克洛、巴罗和格罗斯曼的一些研究成果;以及最近的代表代理微基金会,始于20世纪70年代初的卢卡斯和新古典主义。本文将记录这些微观基础程序的发展及其相互关系,特别是与一般均衡理论和计量经济学程序的关系,它们的现代体现都可以追溯到20世纪30年代的同一时期。
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Microfoundational Programs
The substantial questions of macroeconomics itself are very old, going back to the origins of economics itself. But professional self-consciousness of the distinction between macroeconomics and microeconomics dates only to the 1930s. The distinction was drawn quite independently of Keynes, yet Keynes’s General Theory led to its widespread adoption. The question of the relationship of microeconomics to macroeconomics encapsulated in the question of whether macroeconomics requires microfoundations was not raised for the first time in the 1960s or ‘70s, as is sometimes thought, but goes back to the very foundations of macroeconomics. There are in fact at least three microfoundational programs: a Marshallian program with its roots directly in Keynes’s own theorizing in the General Theory; a fixed-price general-equilibrium theory, which includes some work of Patinkin, Clower, and Barro and Grossman; and the more recent representative-agent microfoundations, starting with Lucas and the new classicals in the early 1970s. This paper will document the development of each of these microfoundational programs and their interrelationship, especially in relationship to the programs of general-equilibrium theory and econometrics, whose modern incarnations both date from exactly the same period in the 1930s.
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