估计骑车受伤的漏报率

IF 1.4 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Periodica Polytechnica-Civil Engineering Pub Date : 2023-03-06 DOI:10.3311/ppci.19429
G. Pauer, Nóra Krizsik, Szilárd Szigeti
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引用次数: 0

摘要

国际数据报告表明,在自行车事故中,漏报是一种常见现象。然而,确定漏报事故或受伤骑车者的确切数量是一项艰巨的任务。我们的研究重点是对骑自行车者的人身伤害事故数据进行综合检查。研究的主要目的是制定一个模型,确定官方事故数据库中受伤的骑自行车者“失踪”的比例,并探索导致这一比例的可能原因和过程。通过使用多种数据集(事故数据库、医院数据和骑自行车者调查数据),该模型可以减轻仅使用一个数据源得出结论所产生的失真效应。为了证明其适用性,对匈牙利进行了调查和审查。结果显示,官方事故数据库中只有8.3%的受伤骑车者被报告。大多数(62.6%)受伤的骑车人既没有得到警察的处理,也没有得到医疗。漏报的数量因伤害结果和事故类型而异。
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Estimating the Underreporting Rate of Injured Cyclists
International data reports indicated that underreporting is a frequent phenomenon in the case of cyclist accidents. However, determining the exact volume of underreported accidents or injured cyclists is a difficult task. Our research focused on a comprehensive examination of the personal injury accident data of cyclists. The primary aim was to elaborate a model determining the proportion of injured cyclists ‘missing’ from the official accident database and to explore the possible causes and processes leading to that. With the use of various data sets (accident database, data from hospitals and survey of cyclists), the model can alleviate the distortion effects arising from conclusions reached using only one data source. To demonstrate applicability, the surveys and examinations were carried out in relation to Hungary. The results showed that only 8.3% of injured cyclists were reported in the official accident database. The majority (62.6%) of injured cyclists received neither police action, nor medical treatment. The volume of the underreporting varied depending on the injury outcome and type of accident.
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来源期刊
Periodica Polytechnica-Civil Engineering
Periodica Polytechnica-Civil Engineering 工程技术-工程:土木
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
16.70%
发文量
89
审稿时长
12 months
期刊介绍: Periodica Polytechnica Civil Engineering is a peer reviewed scientific journal published by the Faculty of Civil Engineering of the Budapest University of Technology and Economics. It was founded in 1957. Publication frequency: quarterly. Periodica Polytechnica Civil Engineering publishes both research and application oriented papers, in the area of civil engineering. The main scope of the journal is to publish original research articles in the wide field of civil engineering, including geodesy and surveying, construction materials and engineering geology, photogrammetry and geoinformatics, geotechnics, structural engineering, architectural engineering, structural mechanics, highway and railway engineering, hydraulic and water resources engineering, sanitary and environmental engineering, engineering optimisation and history of civil engineering. The journal is abstracted by several international databases, see the main page.
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