通过ABC方法近似集成似然

C. Grazian, B. Liseo
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引用次数: 7

摘要

我们提出了一种新的贝叶斯推理的新计算工具,即近似贝叶斯计算(ABC)方法。ABC是一种处理模型的方法,其中可能性函数可能难以处理或甚至不可用和/或太昂贵而无法评估;特别地,我们考虑了从复杂统计模型中消除干扰参数的问题,以便产生仅依赖于兴趣数量的似然函数。给定整个向量参数的适当先验,我们建议通过边际后验和先验的核估计量的比率来近似积分似然。我们举几个例子。
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Approximate Integrated Likelihood via ABC methods
We propose a novel use of a recent new computational tool for Bayesian inference, namely the Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methodology. ABC is a way to handle models for which the likelihood function may be intractable or even unavailable and/or too costly to evaluate; in particular, we consider the problem of eliminating the nuisance parameters from a complex statistical model in order to produce a likelihood function depending on the quantity of interest only. Given a proper prior for the entire vector parameter, we propose to approximate the integrated likelihood by the ratio of kernel estimators of the marginal posterior and prior for the quantity of interest. We present several examples.
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