人类活动和气候变化对橙河上游水资源的影响

S. MahasaPululu, G. PalamuleniLobina, M. RuhiigaTabukeli
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引用次数: 1

摘要

研究区存在的主要问题是非法取水灌溉。在南非,有迹象表明,大约2.4亿立方米/年的非法用水是由于未经批准的取水或违反用水许可证。奥兰治-森渠流域的灌溉用水状况也表明,资料不足,因此需要开展工作,了解提高用水效率的潜力,同时考虑到与作物类型、土壤类型和技术选择有关的问题。像这样的研究也可以揭示气候变化对流域用水的潜在影响,因为该地区可能会受到气温上升和降雨模式变化的重大影响。验证和核实的过程将决定现有合法用水的范围。可以利用遥感技术(卫星、航空照片等)来确定灌溉者登记的用水量是否准确,即是否有效,登记的用水量是否合法(核查)。目前,万德克鲁夫大坝的放水量仅为2.9亿立方米/年,满足了河口的生态要求。然而,最近的一些研究,包括国际水资源综合管理协会(GIZ - IWRM)的研究强调,这是基于一种相当过时的方法。最近的低橙区管理研究发现,生态需求的高水平估计约为10.62亿立方米/年。
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The Upper Orange River Water Resources Affected by Human Interventions and Climate Change
The major problem in the study area is the unlawful water abstractions for irrigation use. In South Africa, indications show that about 240 million m3/a of illegal water use is due to unauthorised withdrawals or violations of water use licenses. The status of water use for irrigation in the Orange-Senqu Basin also shows that insufficient information exists such that work needs to be done to understand the potential for increased efficiency of water use, taking into account issues pertaining to crop type, soil type and technological options. Studies like this one could also shed light on the potential impact of climate change on water use in the basin as this area may well experience significant impacts from rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns. The processes of validation and verification will determine the extent of existing lawful water use. The use of remote sensing techniques (satellite, aerial photographs, etc.) could be employed to determine if the volume of water use registered by irrigators is accurate, i.e. valid and that the volume of water use registered is lawful (verification). Currently, ecological requirements for the river mouth are met through releases from Vanderkloof Dam and amount to just 290 million m3/a. However several recent studies including the Gesellschaft fur International Zusammenarbeit - Integrated Water Resources Management (GIZ – IWRM) study highlight that this is based on a fairly outdated methodology. The more recent Lower Orange Management study found a high level estimate of ecological requirements to be in order of 1 062 million m3/a.
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