海上油气设施退役的多米诺效应风险评估系统

Yihong Li, Zhiqian Hu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

海上油气行业的发展已经经历了一个多世纪,许多海上设施都面临着退役的挑战。由于海上设施处于恶劣的海洋环境中,退役过程中所涉及的风险评估和事故预警技术一直受到业界和学术界的关注。由于多米诺骨牌效应事故具有高影响低概率的特点,因此需要欧盟的Seveso-II指令对其进行评估,特别是在考虑化学工业风险评估时。然而,目前海上油气设施退役风险评估体系尚不完善。本文对海上油气设施退役多米诺效应风险评估体系的建立进行了研究。与传统风险评估体系仅对某些危害进行单方面评估相比,该多米诺效应风险评估体系将7个主要危害与2个事件层的9个退役程序相结合。同时,建立了多米诺事件触发机制。该系统利用理论方程对风险评估结果进行快速、准确的评估。
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Domino Effect Risk Assessment System for Offshore Oil and Gas Facilities Decommissioning
The development of the offshore oil and gas industry has been experienced for more than a century and many offshore facilities are facing the decommissioning challenge. For the reason of offshore facilities are in a harsh ocean environment, the risk assessment and accidental warning technologies involved in the decommissioning process causes attention by industry and academia. Due to the characteristic of high-impact low-probability, domino effect accidents are required to be assessed by the European Union’s Seveso-II Directive, especially when considering the chemical industry risk assessment. However, at present, there is few risks assessment system for the decommissioning of offshore oil and gas facilities. This paper presents a study on the establishment of a Domino Effect risk assessment system for offshore oil and gas facilities’ decommissioning. Compared with the traditional risk assessment system which only conducts a unilateral assessment of certain hazards, this Domino effect risk assessment system combines 7 major hazards with 9 decommissioning procedures in 2 event layers. Meanwhile, a domino event trigger mechanism has been established. The proposed system uses theoretical equations to assess the risks assessment results quickly and accurately.
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