流行病个体模型在随机无标度网络中的应用

Christofer Roque Ribeiro Silva, A. Almeida, R. N. Cardoso, R. Takahashi
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引用次数: 1

摘要

这项工作提出了一个基于个人的模型(IBM)的版本,该模型平均收敛于SIR(易感-感染-恢复)模型的结果,并研究了这种IBM在两种类型的网络中的影响:随机网络和无标度网络。考虑了一个数值计算案例研究,使用由高效框架实现的大规模网络。进行统计测试,以显示网络模型和确定性模型作为基线之间的异同。仿真结果验证了不同的网络拓扑结构在时间演化、基础重现性和最终感染人数等方面改变了流行病的传播行为。
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EPIDEMIC INDIVIDUAL-BASED MODELS APPLIED IN RANDOM AND SCALE-FREE NETWORKS
This work proposes a version of the Individual-Based Model (IBM) that converges, on average, to the result of the SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) model, and studies the effect of this IBM in two types of networks: random and scale-free. A numerical computational case study is considered, using large scale networks implemented by an efficient framework. Statistical tests are performed to show the similarities and differences between the network models and the deterministic model taken as a baseline. Simulation results verify that different network topologies alter the behavior of the epidemic propagation in the following aspects: temporal evolution, basal reproducibility and the number of infected in the final.
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来源期刊
Revista Brasileira de Biometria
Revista Brasileira de Biometria Agricultural and Biological Sciences-Agricultural and Biological Sciences (all)
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53 weeks
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