自适应风数据归一化以提高预报模型的性能

IF 1.5 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS Wind Engineering Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI:10.1177/0309524X221093908
Deepali Patil, Rajesh Wadhvani, Sanyam Shukla, Muktesh Gupta
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引用次数: 0

摘要

风速预测是一个时间序列问题,在风电场年发电量估算中起着至关重要的作用。风能的计算有助于保持电力生产和消费之间的稳定。深度学习模型用于预测时间序列数据。然而,由于风速是非平稳和不规则的,为了得到准确的结果,需要对这些数据进行预处理。本文采用min-max、z-score和自适应归一化等静态归一化技术对风数据集进行预处理,并对其预测结果进行比较。与静态归一化相比,自适应归一化提高了学习率,给出了更好的预测结果。当使用自适应归一化代替z-score归一化时,NREL数据集的RMSE值降低了9.18%,Weather数据集的RMSE值降低了23.58%。使用的数据集来自国家可再生能源实验室(NREL)和Kaggle的数据集。
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Adaptive wind data normalization to improve the performance of forecasting models
Wind speed forecasting, a time series problem, plays a vital role in estimating annual wind energy production in wind farms. Calculation of wind energy helps to maintain stability between electricity production and consumption. Deep learning models are used for predicting time series data. However, as wind speed is non-stationary and irregular, pre-processing of these data is necessary to get accurate results. In this paper, static normalization techniques like min–max, z-score, and adaptive normalization are used for pre-processing wind datasets, and further, their forecasting results are compared. Adaptive normalization increases the learning rate and gives better forecasting results than static normalization. The RMSE value was reduced by 9.18% for the NREL dataset when adaptive normalization was used instead of z-score normalization and by 23.58% for the Weather dataset. The datasets used are taken from National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and Kaggle’s Dataset.
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来源期刊
Wind Engineering
Wind Engineering ENERGY & FUELS-
CiteScore
4.00
自引率
13.30%
发文量
81
期刊介绍: Having been in continuous publication since 1977, Wind Engineering is the oldest and most authoritative English language journal devoted entirely to the technology of wind energy. Under the direction of a distinguished editor and editorial board, Wind Engineering appears bimonthly with fully refereed contributions from active figures in the field, book notices, and summaries of the more interesting papers from other sources. Papers are published in Wind Engineering on: the aerodynamics of rotors and blades; machine subsystems and components; design; test programmes; power generation and transmission; measuring and recording techniques; installations and applications; and economic, environmental and legal aspects.
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