基于标准化降水指数的气象干旱时空特征研究。阿尔及利亚个案研究

Meriem Fellag, Mohammed Achite, A. Wałęga
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引用次数: 7

摘要

研究目的:研究长江中上游地区干旱的时空特征;使用标准降水指数[SPI]作为测量气象干旱严重程度的工具,在年时间尺度上对阿尔及利亚西北部的半干旱地区进行了研究。资料和方法:利用1970—2009年11个气象站的年降水量进行SPI年值评估。为了确定研究序列降水趋势的可能变化,选择了统计检验。得到了研究区干旱的程度、严重程度和持续时间。结果和结论:统计检验表明,在1970年代末和1980年代初发现了降雨系统破裂的发生,并呈负趋势。SPI的结果表明,1979年和1980年以后,旱年的存在是强烈的。1993年、1999年和2001年为极严重干旱年份(SPI <-2)。SPI在40 a的演变过程中以正常年频率为主(67%),干湿年交替(17%)为主(16%)。研究区总地表在严重年份(1993年、1999年)受干旱影响。研究区降水具有较大的变异性,表现出干旱的不规则性和非均质性,不同次流域和年份之间存在差异。
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SPATIAL-TEMPORAL CHARACTERIZATION OF METEOROLOGICAL DROUGHT USING THE STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION INDEX.CASE STUDY IN ALGERIA
Aim of the study: In this study, the spatial and temporal characteristics of drought in the upper and middle Cheliff; a semi-arid region of northwestern Algeria was examined using the standard precipitation index [SPI] at an annual time scale as a tool for measuring the severity of meteorological drought. Material and methods: To asses of SPI annual sum of precipitation from 11 precipitation stations covering the period 1970-2009 were used. In order to identify the possible changes in the precipitation trend of the studied series, statistical tests were selected. The extent, severity and duration of the drought in the study area were obtained. Results and conclusions: Statistical tests showed that the occurrence of ruptures in the rainfall regime was detected at the end of the 1970s and the beginning of 1980s with a negative trend. The results of the SPI showed a strong existence of dry years after 1979 and 1980. The years 1993, 1999 and 2001 presented an extremely severe drought (SPI <-2). The evolution of SPI showed a dominance of the frequency of normal years (67%) and alternation of dry years (17%) and wet years (16%) over a period of 40 years. The total surface of the study area is affected by drought during severe years (1993, 1999). The study area exhibits irregularity and heterogeneity of drought due to the great variability of precipitation, it can vary from sub-basin to another and from one year to another.
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CiteScore
0.40
自引率
25.00%
发文量
1
审稿时长
50 weeks
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