武汉市人口预测模型的比较研究

Ping Hu, Shunkang Yan
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摘要

本文采用线性预测模型、自然增长模型和指数增长模型对武汉市1978 - 2004年的人口数量进行拟合,并根据确定的相应参数,对2005 - 2007年的人口数量进行预测和比较,结论是自然增长模型和指数增长模型的结果较好。
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The Comparative Study of Wuhan Population Prediction Models
This paper uses linear prediction model, the natural growth model and the exponential growth model to fitted Wuhan population quantity from 1978 to 2004, and then according to the determine corresponding parameters, predicted the population quantity from 2005 to 2007 and compared, the conclusion is that the results of natural growth model and the exponential growth model are better.
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