尼泊尔主要未充分利用作物的生产和贸易情况

D. Gautam, B. Subedi
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引用次数: 2

摘要

在尼泊尔,未充分利用的作物是在粮食、营养、饮食和烹饪多样化方面具有很高潜力的作物品种,但在正式研究、教育、推广和发展方面不太受重视。对生产和贸易趋势的分析有助于为尼泊尔未充分利用的作物的发展制定和优先考虑管理政策。分析这一需求,本研究旨在揭示尼泊尔主要未充分利用作物的生产和贸易情景;主要是小米、荞麦和大麦。本研究采用粮农组织统计数据库(FAOSTAT)、农牧业发展部(MoALD)、海关总署及相关文献收集的二次数据进行研究,采用简单线性回归模型分析持续趋势。收集和分析的数据显示,小米的生产面积正在减少。然而,生产数量的增加主要是因为生产率的提高。虽然产量在增加,但小米的进口量也很高。随着当地以小米为原料的白酒产品消费的增加,随之而来的是多样化的食品消费,似乎导致了需求的增加。十多年来,荞麦的生产面积保持稳定,但产量和生产率不断提高。大麦的生产面积和生产力正在下降,而大麦的进口量从2013/14年开始增加,2019/20年突然下降。2019/20年度进口突然减少是由于新冠疫情导致的贸易限制。但是,现在对这些未充分利用的作物的需求正在逐年增加,而且这种情况在未来几年还将继续,主要是因为人们对其健康和营养益处的认识有所提高。为了在不久的将来减少这些作物不断膨胀的贸易逆差,以及生产力,有效的面积扩大政策和计划应该从所有三级政府制定和实施。
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Production and Trade Scenario of Major Underutilized Crops of Nepal
In Nepal, underutilized crops are the crop species which have high potential for food, nutrition, dietary and culinary diversification but are less prioritized in formal research, education, extension and development. Analysis of the trend of production and trade helps to formulate and prioritize governing policies for the development of the underutilized crops in Nepal. Analyzing this need, This study aims to reveal the production and trade scenario of major underutilized crops of Nepal; mainly Finger millet, Buckwheat and Barley over the years. Secondary data collected from Food and Agriculture Organization Corporate Statistical Database (FAOSTAT), Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MoALD), Department of Customs and relevant articles were used for the study and to analyze the ongoing trend, simple linear regression model was used. Collected and analyzed data revealed that, production area of millet is decreasing. However, the production quantity is increasing mainly because of the increased productivity. Though the production is increasing, the import of millet is also high. Increased consumption of local liquor products made from millet followed by diversified food product consumption have seems to conduced the increased demand. The production area of buckwheat found steady over a decade, however, the production and productivity is increasing. The production area and productivity of barley is decreasing while the import of barley is increasing from 2013/14 with the sudden fall in 2019/20. The sudden decrease in import in 2019/20 was due to trade restriction due to Covid situation. But now the demand of these underutilized crops is increasing year after year, and this will continue in forthcoming years also, mainly because of raise in awareness about the health and nutritional benefits. To reduce the ballooning trade deficit of these crops in near future, along with productivity, effective area expansion policies and programs should be formulated and implemented from all three tiers of government.
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审稿时长
7 weeks
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