Tatjana Stanivuk, Ladislav Stazić, Jurica Batinovic, Ana Batinovic
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引用次数: 1
摘要
本文以Luka place Ltd.公司为例,调查了SARS-COV-2病毒大流行对整体货运业务的影响。卢卡普洛斯有限公司(普洛斯港)是一家从事海运服务、港口服务、仓储和货运代理的合资企业。使用预测ARIMA模型(1.1.1)分析了2016年至2019年期间的公司数据,以预测2020年的货运业务量。预测模型预测货物转口的平均增幅接近10%。这一预测与Luka place Ltd在2020年上半年的实际结果进行了比较。比较表明,货物转运量大幅减少了近32%,但由于延迟交货和紧急供应医疗设备,出现了一些例外情况。
Impact of Sars-Cov-2 virus on Maritime Traffic in the Port of Ploce
The paper investigates the impact of the SARS-COV-2 virus pandemics on overall cargo operations, using the company Luka Ploce Ltd. as an example. Luka Ploce Ltd (Port of Ploce) is a joint venture for maritime transport services, port services, warehousing and freight forwarding. Company data from the period from 2016 to 2019 was analysed using the prognostic ARIMA model (1.1.1) in order to predict volume of the cargo operations in 2020. The prognostic model predicted average increase of the cargo transhipments close to 10%. That prediction is compared with the actual results of the Luka Ploce Ltd for the first half of the 2020. The comparison is showing that there was a significant decrease of the transhipments of the cargo of almost 32%, with some exceptions due to delay in deliveries and urgent supplies of medical equipment.