充分了解和应用:危害管理的挑战

J. Weichselgartner, M. Obersteiner
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引用次数: 60

摘要

危险管理问题呈现出一种奇特的现象:人们普遍认为某些不好的事情正在发生,而人们却普遍无力阻止人员和经济损失的增长。White等人(2001)在他们的声明“知道得更好,失去得更多”中认为,灾害管理知识的提高本身并不足以扭转灾害统计的上升趋势。自然灾害造成的财产损失不断增加,而关于自然灾害的研究比以往任何时候都多,这一事实使人们对灾害研究和灾害管理中使用的工具和技术是否适当提出了一些问题。在我们对White等人(2001)的简短分析中,我们想把重点放在知识的社会维度上,即对自然灾害及其对发展的影响的认知、意识和意识。灾害风险源于自然灾害和人类脆弱性的结合,我们认为,将自然灾害辩论与发展辩论分开,就忽略了这个灾害等式的一半。目前灾害的速度正在破坏发展中国家的市场和安全网,并削弱它们为其人民提供基本服务的能力。经济学家、发展规划者、自然科学家和灾害管理者之间需要更大的政策一致性,以防止人类生命、生计以及自然和经济资产遭受灾难性损失。至少有三个原因可以解释这些现象:
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Knowing sufficient and applying more: challenges in hazards management
The hazard management problem presents a curious pair of phenomena: common agreement that something bad is happening, and universal inability to stop the growth of human and economic losses. White et al. (2001) argued in their statement ‘‘knowing better and losing even more’’ that improved knowledge about disaster management was not by itself sufficient to reverse the upward trend in disaster statistics. The fact that property losses caused by natural hazards have been increasing, while the volume of research on natural hazards is greater than ever, raises some questions about the adequacy of tools and techniques used in hazard research and disaster management. In our brief analysis that complements White et al. (2001), we would like to focus on the social dimension of knowledge, in the sense of being cognizant, conscious, and aware of natural disasters and their implications for development. Risks of disaster arise out of the combination of natural hazards and human vulnerability, and we argue that by divorcing the natural disaster debate from the development debate, half of this disaster equation is ignored. The current pace of disasters is undermining markets and safety nets of developing countries and reducing their capacities to provide basic services for their people. Far greater policy coherence is needed between economists, development planners, natural scientists, and disaster managers in order to prevent catastrophic losses to human lives, livelihoods, and natural and economic assets. There are at least three reasons that could explain these phenomena:
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