印度棉花资产负债表在两个十年情景下:回顾

S. C. Sekhar, P. Dinesh, Aki Ruthwik, M. Sandeep, M. Y. Vamsi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

印度在全球棉花平衡中排名第二,仅次于中国。棉花是印度纺织业的支柱,约占纺织厂总使用量的74%。由于抗棉铃虫Bt棉的引进和迅速的地域扩张,印度的棉花产量有所增加。本文的目的是比较棉花平衡分析,并探讨过去22年来影响棉花发展的因素。本文提出的相关论点支持了对棉花贸易年度趋势的分析讨论。从2000-01年到2021-22年,印度平均棉花产量将达到3000万包,其中出口560万包,进口140万包。加上可观察到的结转库存,印度的棉花总供应量一直超过总需求。然而,印度棉农面临着各种问题,包括生产成本增加、债务难以管理、产量停滞、持续使用农药、灌溉不足、缺乏现代技术、人工采摘、易受污染、基因纯度下降、来自人造纤维、特别是合成纤维的竞争、市场价格波动以及缺乏国际合作的参与。为了提高棉花产量,政府必须提供高产、高质量的杂交种子和适当的灌溉基础设施。
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India’s Cotton Balance Sheet under Two Decadal Scenarios: A Review
India ranks second in the global cotton balance, next only China. Cotton is the mainstay of India’s textile industry, accounting for roughly 74% of total textile mill usage. India’s cotton production has increased due to the introduction and rapid geographical expansion of bollworm resistant Bt cotton. The objective of this paper is to compare cotton balance analyses and to investigate the factors that have influenced cotton development over the last 22 years. The pertinent arguments presented in this article support the analytical discussion of the cotton trade’s yearly trends. Between 2000-01 and 2021-22, there will be an average of 30 million bales of cotton produced, 5.6 million exported and 1.4 million imported by India. By adding observable carryover stocks, the entire supply of cotton in India has consistently outperformed the total demand. However, Indian cotton farmers face a variety of issues, including increasing production costs, unmanageable debts, stagnant yields, constant pesticide use, inadequate irrigation, a lack of modern technology, manual picking, vulnerability to contamination, deterioration in genetic purity, competition from artificial fibres, particularly synthetic fibre, fluctuating market prices and lack of CCI participation. To boost cotton output, governments must provide high-yielding, high-quality hybrid seeds and appropriate irrigation infrastructure.
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