对COVID - 19和国家风险的有力审查:来自十国集团国家的观点

Q2 Social Sciences International Social Science Journal Pub Date : 2023-04-07 DOI:10.1111/issj.12407
T. Eldomiaty, Yasmin Abdelhameed, R. Hammam
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了COVID - 19新感染对十国集团(G10)国家金融主权风险的影响。本文使用面板最小二乘回归,使用2020年2月至2021年7月期间的月度数据。本文考察了两种主权风险指标:政府债券收益率息差和主权信用违约互换息差。稳健性检验结果表明,COVID - 19的传播对主权风险产生了显著的积极影响。传染风险已扩大到汇率和国际储备增长率。本文提供了两个贡献。首先,研究结果显示了COVID - 19对国家主权风险影响的有力证据。其次,新冠肺炎疫情对国家主权风险的严重程度进一步加深。实证结果具有以下政策含义:(a)各国必须继续努力保护COVID - 19大流行的演变,因为它阻碍了国家的信用价值,从而增加了主权风险;(b)建议G10国家遵循零COVID - 19战略。(c)宏观审慎措施必须与减轻主权风险的货币政策一起实施;(d)实施社会措施,以恢复卫生系统并遏制经济和社会方面的不确定性。《国际社会科学杂志》版权归Wiley-Blackwell所有,未经版权所有者明确书面许可,其内容不得复制或通过电子邮件发送到多个网站或发布到listserv。但是,用户可以打印、下载或通过电子邮件发送文章供个人使用。这可以删节。对副本的准确性不作任何保证。用户应参阅原始出版版本的材料的完整。(版权适用于所有人。)
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A robust examination of COVID‐19 and country risk: Perspectives from the G10 countries
This paper examines the effects of COVID‐19 new infections on the financial sovereign risks in the group of ten (G10) countries. The paper utilises panel least squares regression using monthly data over the period February 2020–July 2021. Two sovereign risk measures are examined: the Spread of Government Bond Yields and Sovereign Credit Default Swap spread. The results of the robustness tests show that the spread of the COVID‐19 has affected the sovereign risks significantly and positively. Contagion risks have been extended to exchanges rates and growth rates of international reserves. This paper offers two contributions. First, the results show robust evidence on the impact of COVID‐19 on country's sovereign risks. Second, the severity of COVID‐19 on country's sovereign risks is further. The empirical results carry policy implications that (a) countries must sustain efforts for safeguarding the evolution of COVID‐19 pandemic since it is hindering country's credit worthiness, thus increasing sovereign risks, (b) the G10 countries are advised to follow the zero COVID‐19 strategy, (c) macro prudential measures have to be implemented along with monetary policies that mitigate the sovereign risks and (d) implement social measures to restore the health system and contain the uncertainty on both economic and social grounds. [ FROM AUTHOR] Copyright of International Social Science Journal is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full . (Copyright applies to all s.)
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来源期刊
International Social Science Journal
International Social Science Journal Social Sciences-Social Sciences (all)
CiteScore
1.90
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0
期刊介绍: The International Social Science Journal bridges social science communities across disciplines and continents with a view to sharing information and debate with the widest possible audience. The ISSJ has a particular focus on interdisciplinary and transdisciplinary work that pushes the boundaries of current approaches, and welcomes both applied and theoretical research. Originally founded by UNESCO in 1949, ISSJ has since grown into a forum for innovative review, reflection and discussion informed by recent and ongoing international, social science research. It provides a home for work that asks questions in new ways and/or employs original methods to classic problems and whose insights have implications across the disciplines and beyond the academy. The journal publishes regular editions featuring rigorous, peer-reviewed research articles that reflect its international and heterodox scope.
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