国内信贷和股票市场对经济增长的影响:东盟五国的新证据

Tuti Eka Asmarani, Endah Ayu Ningsih
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引用次数: 0

摘要

资本积累和技术创新是金融部门在经济增长中发挥重要作用的两个渠道。然而,在银行和股票市场之间有一些不同的结果。本研究对加入金融市场的索洛-斯旺增长模型进行了检验,结果表明,国内信贷市场和股票市场的股权是五个东盟国家(印度尼西亚、马来西亚、新加坡、泰国和菲律宾)人均国内生产总值(GDP)的两个长期决定因素。该研究使用了2000年至2019年的数据,并进行了面板回归测试。结果表明,各决定变量对经济增长均有正向影响。国内信贷对经济增长的影响也高于股票市场。此外,国内信贷和股票市场对东盟五国的经济增长具有显著的正影响。研究还发现,虽然东盟五国的人口对经济增长有积极的影响,但在统计上并不令人信服。有人认为,东盟的人们已经使用了技术,所以人口的增加鼓励了经济的增长。
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Domestic Credit and Stock Market Impact on Economic Growth: A New Evidence in Five ASEAN Countries
Capital accumulation and technological innovation had been the two channels through which the financial sector plays a vital role in the growth of economy. However, there are some different results between banking and stock market. The  research tested the Solow-Swan growth model augmented with financial markets to show that domestic credit markets  and equity from stock markets are two long run determinants of Gross Domestic Products (GDP) per capita in five ASEAN countries: Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and Philippines. The research used data from 2000 to 2019 tested with panel regression. The result shows that all determinant variables have a positive impact on economic growth. The domestic credit also has a higher impact on the growth of economy than the stock market. In addition, domestic credit and stock market has statistically significant positif impact to economic growth across five ASEAN countries. The researchalso finds that although population in five ASEAN countries give positive effect to economic growth, it is statistically not convincing. It is suggested that people in ASEAN have already used technology, so population augmented encourages economic growth. 
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