建议驱动的需求和系统性的价格波动

Itzhak Ben-David, Jiacui Li, Andrea Rossi, Yang Song
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引用次数: 7

摘要

我们表明,以共同基金评级的形式提出的建议会产生相关需求,从而造成系统性的价格波动。共同基金投资者通过晨星评级来追踪基金业绩。直到2002年6月,追求相同投资风格的基金都拥有高度相关的评级。因此,追逐评级的投资者将资金引向赢钱风格,产生风格层面的价格压力,并随着时间的推移而逆转。2002年6月,晨星公司(Morningstar)对其方法进行了改革,以平衡不同风格的评级。通过共同基金的风格水平相关需求立即减弱,显著改变了风格回报的时间序列和横截面变化。咨询驱动的需求也解释了规模和价值因素的巨大差异。
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Advice-Driven Demand and Systematic Price Fluctuations
We show that advice in the form of mutual fund ratings generates correlated demand that creates systematic price fluctuations. Mutual fund investors chase fund performance via Morningstar ratings. Until June 2002, funds pursuing the same investment style had highly correlated ratings. Therefore, rating-chasing investors directed capital into winning styles, generating style-level price pressures that reverted over time. In June 2002, Morningstar reformed its methodology to equalize ratings across styles. Style-level correlated demand via mutual funds immediately became muted, significantly altering the time-series and cross-sectional variation of style returns. Advice-driven demand also explains substantial variation in the size and value factors.
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