新冠肺炎疫情对印尼旅游业经济增长的影响

Mursalina Mursalina, R. Masbar, S. Suriani
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引用次数: 14

摘要

印尼已将旅游业列为当前的发展重点之一。然而,新冠肺炎大流行损害了印尼的各个经济部门,其中旅游业受到的影响最大。由于包括印度尼西亚在内的各国采取了封锁、保持社交距离等政策,经济活动放缓,游客人数大幅减少,由于大流行造成的不确定性,投资减少。本研究旨在研究Covid-19大流行对游客人数和投资(国内和外国投资)的影响及其对印度尼西亚旅游业经济增长的影响。本研究采用路径分析法,选取中介变量为游客入境和投资路径。采用面板数据回归对路径分析方程进行回归,数据序列为2018q1 - 2021q2,截面为印尼22个有旅游入口的省份。
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Impact of Covid-19 Pandemic on Economic Growth of the Tourism Sector in Indonesia
Indonesia has made the tourism sector one of its current development priorities. However, the Covid-19 pandemic has harmed various economic sectors, and the tourism sector is the most affected in Indonesia. As a result of policies carried out by various countries including Indonesia, such as lockdown, social distancing, and its kind, economic activity has slowed, tourist arrivals have decreased drastically, and investment has decreased due to the uncertainty caused by the pandemic. This study aims to examine the effect of the Covid-19 pandemic on tourist arrivals and investment (domestic and foreign investment) and its impact on the economic growth of the tourism sector in Indonesia. This study uses the path analysis method by using mediating variables, namely tourist arrivals, and investment paths. Panel data regression is used to regress the path analysis equation, with data series 2018q1 – 2021q2 and cross-sections in 22 provinces in Indonesia that have tourist entrances.
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