利用区域气候模式PRECIS在气候变化rcp高分辨率情景下对古巴的风能资源进行评估

IF 1.5 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS Wind Engineering Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI:10.1177/0309524X221080469
Y. Alonso, Arnoldo Bezanilla, Milena Alpizar, Yosvany Martinez-Gonzalez
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引用次数: 0

摘要

利用区域气候模式PRECIS分析了气候变化rcp高分辨率情景下的风速行为。预测表明,在整个世纪,随着北大西洋反气旋的加强和向西移动可能发生,在大多数国家领土上,地面风速将继续或多或少地增加(取决于情景),主要是向北海岸。这一增长最重要的一点是,它可以巩固古巴风力计划的当前预测,其中提议建设13个风力发电场,正是古巴的风力潜力将增加的地方。最后,将这一增长加到古巴数值风地图集的风速输出中,以估计未来时期的风速值。
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Wind energy resources assessment of Cuba using the regional climate model PRECIS in high resolution scenarios of climate change RCPs
An analysis of the behavior of the wind speed using the regional climate model PRECIS in high resolution scenarios of climate change RCPs is presented. The projections indicate that throughout the century, the speed of the surface wind will continue to increase to a greater or lesser extent (depending on the scenario) in most of the national territory, mainly towards the coast north, as an intensification and westward shift of the anticyclone North Atlantic could occur. The most important thing about this increase is that allows to consolidate the current projection of the Cuban wind program, in which the construction of 13 wind farms is proposed, precisely where the wind potential of Cuba will be increased. Finally this increase is added to the wind speed outputs of the Numerical Wind Atlas of Cuba to estimate the values of wind speed over the future periods.
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来源期刊
Wind Engineering
Wind Engineering ENERGY & FUELS-
CiteScore
4.00
自引率
13.30%
发文量
81
期刊介绍: Having been in continuous publication since 1977, Wind Engineering is the oldest and most authoritative English language journal devoted entirely to the technology of wind energy. Under the direction of a distinguished editor and editorial board, Wind Engineering appears bimonthly with fully refereed contributions from active figures in the field, book notices, and summaries of the more interesting papers from other sources. Papers are published in Wind Engineering on: the aerodynamics of rotors and blades; machine subsystems and components; design; test programmes; power generation and transmission; measuring and recording techniques; installations and applications; and economic, environmental and legal aspects.
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