COVID-19大流行对在线零工行为的影响

X. Cao, Dennis J. Zhang, Lei Huang
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引用次数: 2

摘要

问题定义:我们利用一家拥有超过10万名零工的大型在线教育平台的劳动力供应数据,调查了2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行爆发后,在线零工工人的行为是如何改变的,以及是什么推动了这种变化。方法与结果:从国家紧急状态公告发布到4月底(第一阶段),网络零工在平台上的劳动力供给大幅增加了23%;在5月和6月(第二阶段),增幅变小,并在7月和8月(第三阶段)消失。年复一年的差异分析表明,在控制了季节性和工人异质性之后,这些发现是稳健的。结果:我们发现,零工劳动力供给的增加并非由疫情期间需求增加或新工人过多进入驱动。一系列中介分析表明,失业和非药物干预(npi)比感染COVID-19的风险更能解释为什么在线零工增加了劳动力供应。失业的影响小于NPI政策的影响,这表明零工劳动力供给的增加更多是由政策导致的工作安排的临时变化驱动的,而不是就业形势的相对长期变化。我们还研究了在线零工如何改变他们的工作质量,以及他们在平台上的收入潜力与他们在疫情期间的行为变化之间的关系。管理启示:我们的研究结果为在COVID-19大流行等重大中断期间管理在线零工员工提供了见解。
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The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Behavior of Online Gig Workers
Problem definition: Using labor supply data from a large online education platform with more than 100,000 gig workers, we investigate how online gig workers changed their behavior after the outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and what drove the changes. Methodology and Results: Online gig workers sharply increased their labor supply on the platform by 23% from the announcement of national emergency to the end of April (stage 1); the increase became smaller in May and June (stage 2) and disappeared in July and August (stage 3). Year to year difference-in-difference analyses show that these findings are robust after controlling for seasonality and worker heterogeneity. Results: We show that the increase in gig workers’ labor supply is not driven by a higher demand or excessive entry of new workers during the pandemic. A series of mediation analyses indicates that unemployment and nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) rather than the risk of contracting COVID-19 can better explain why online gig workers increased their labor supply. The impact of unemployment is smaller than that of NPI policies, indicating that the increase in gig workers’ labor supply is more driven by temporary changes in working arrangements because of the policies rather than relatively long-term changes in employment situations. We also examine how online gig workers change their quality of work and how their earning potential on the platform relates to their changes in behavior during the pandemic. Managerial implications: Our findings provide insights for the management of online gig workers during major disruptions, like the COVID-19 pandemic.
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