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引用次数: 0

摘要

对海洋石油运输的广泛依赖给全球各地的当地环境、经济和当地社区带来了重大风险。为了提高对风险的防范能力,本文提出了一种风险规避的两阶段随机混合整数线性规划模型,以条件风险值(CVaR)作为风险度量来优化石油泄漏的响应活动。CVaR的使用允许溢油响应的决策者在做出相关响应决策时纳入不同的风险态度。通过数值分析表明,决策者的风险态度在确定最优溢油应急行动中起着至关重要的作用。
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Risk-averse Oil-spill Response Planning
Extensive reliance on marine oil transportation imposes significant risks to local environments, economies, and local communities across the globe. To improve preparedness against the imposed risks, this paper develops a risk-averse two-stage stochastic mixed-integer linear programming model with Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) as a risk measure to optimize response activities to the oil spills. The use of CVaR allows the decision makers of oil-spill response to incorporate different risk attitudes when making relevant response decisions. Through numerical analyses, this paper shows that the risk attitude of the decision makers plays a critical role in determining the optimal oil-spill response activities.
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