严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2指数病例的家庭继发发病率增加

S. Buchan, S. Tibebu, N. Daneman, M. Whelan, T. Vanniyasingam, M. Murti, K. Brown
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引用次数: 18

摘要

重要性:已报道了与关注变量(VOC)指数病例相关的较高继发发病率,但尚未在家庭中进行探讨,而家庭仍然是2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)传播的重要来源。目的:比较VOC指数病例与非VOC指数病例的家庭继发发病率。设计:对2021年2月7日至27日报告的家庭指标病例进行回顾性队列研究。导出一个倾向评分匹配的队列来计算调整后的估计值。周边环境:加拿大安大略省。参与者:以人口为基础的队列,包括所有有指数病例的私人家庭。我们排除了聚集环境中的病例,以及有一人或有>1例病例且最早症状出现日期相同的家庭。暴露:VOC状态,定义为使用全基因组测序确认为B.1.1.7的个体或使用实时PCR筛选N501Y突变阳性的个体。主要结局和测量方法:家庭继发性发病率,定义为在指示病例发生后1-14天内发生的家庭继发性病例数除以家庭继发性接触者总数。结果:我们在倾向评分匹配分析中纳入了1259例指数VOC和非VOC病例。该匹配队列中VOC指数病例的二次发作率比非VOC指数病例高1.31倍(RR=1.31, 95%CI 1.14-1.49),与未调整的估计相似。在分层分析中,无症状指数病例(RR=1.91, 95%CI 0.96-3.80)和症状前病例(RR=3.41, 95%CI 1.13-10.26)与无症状指数病例相比,VOC的继发发病率更高,结论和相关性:本研究提供了强有力的证据,表明VOC在家庭中的传播率增加,并表明无症状和症状前传播可能对VOCs特别重要。我们的研究表明,需要更积极的公共卫生措施来控制挥发性有机化合物,并且需要持续的研究来了解挥发性有机化合物的传播机制,以抑制其相关的发病率和死亡率。
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Increased Household Secondary Attacks Rates With Variant of Concern Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Index Cases
IMPORTANCE: Higher secondary attack rates related to variant of concern (VOC) index cases have been reported, but have not been explored within households, which continue to be an important source of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) transmission OBJECTIVE: To compare secondary attack rates in households with VOC versus non-VOC index cases. DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study of household index cases reported from February 7-27, 2021. A propensity-score matched cohort was derived to calculate adjusted estimates. SETTING: Ontario, Canada. PARTICIPANTS: A population-based cohort of all private households with index cases. We excluded cases in congregate settings, as well as households with one individual or with >1 case with the same earliest symptom onset date. EXPOSURE: VOC status, defined as either individuals confirmed as B.1.1.7 using whole genome sequencing or those that screened positive for the N501Y mutation using real-time PCR. MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURE: Household secondary attack rate, defined as the number of household secondary cases that occurred 1-14 days after the index case divided by the total number of household secondary contacts. RESULTS: We included 1,259 index VOC and non-VOC cases in the propensity score-matched analysis. The secondary attack rate for VOC index cases in this matched cohort was 1.31 times higher than non-VOC index cases (RR=1.31, 95%CI 1.14-1.49), similar to the unadjusted estimate. In stratified analyses, the higher secondary attack rate for VOC compared to non-VOC index cases was accentuated for asymptomatic index cases (RR=1.91, 95% CI 0.96-3.80) and presymptomatic cases (RR=3.41, 95%CI 1.13-10.26) CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This study provides strong evidence of increased transmissibility in households due to VOCs and suggests that asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic transmission may be of particular importance for VOCs. Our study suggests that more aggressive public health measures will be needed to control VOCs and that ongoing research is needed to understand mechanisms of VOC transmissibility to curb their associated morbidity and mortality.
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