水力发电资产使用寿命延长框架

Arthur H. A. Melani, Miguel A. C. Michalski, R. F. da Silva, G. D. de Souza
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引用次数: 0

摘要

对老化或磨损的大型机电设备单元(如水力发电机)进行完整性评估,以延长其使用寿命,已成为全球发电行业面临的一个日益严峻的挑战。虽然现有的推荐实践提供了一般的评估过程,但有必要制定更详细的指导方针。这可以通过增加相关的理论和模型来实现,这些理论和模型可以更精确地捕获随时间变化的设备单元退化。为了填补这一空白,本工作旨在提出一个框架,该框架结合了多种数据分析、可靠性和决策技术,以支持工程师、操作人员和管理人员在通常复杂的决策过程中,在是否延长设备或系统的服务时间之间,从而推迟计划维护停机的时刻。为了演示所提出的框架的应用,给出了一个基于真实水电站数据和信息的模拟场景的案例研究。结果表明,故障部件的可靠性和故障部件的剩余使用寿命会影响系统延长使用寿命的决策。
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A Framework for In-Service Life Extension of Hydroelectric Generation Assets
The integrity assessment of aged or worn out large electromechanical equipment unit, such as in hydroelectric generators, for possible life extension has been identified as a growing challenge in the electrical power generation industry worldwide. Although the available recommended practices provide a general assessment process, it is necessary to have more detailed guidelines. This can be achieved by adding relevant theories and models which can capture time-dependent equipment unit degradation more precisely. Seeking to fulfill this gap, this work aims to present a framework that combines several techniques of data analysis, reliability, and decision-making to support engineers, operators, and managers in the often-complex decision process, between whether or not to extend the time in service of an equipment or system, thus postponing the moment of a scheduled maintenance shutdown. To demonstrate the application of the proposed framework, a case study is presented considering simulated scenarios based on data and information from a real Hydroelectric Power Plant. The results show how the reliability of the components and the remaining useful life of those in fault can impact the decision-making regarding the in-service life extension of a system.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.20
自引率
13.60%
发文量
34
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