家庭对晚年失业的反应

Thomas Bridges
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摘要

本文论证了配偶收入对个人退休决策的影响。我发现,配偶收入较高的丈夫更有可能在非自愿失业后退休。早期的研究表明,工作减少了随后的就业、收入和财富,但它们并没有解释为什么一些工人重返工作岗位,而另一些人却没有。我通过考虑配偶收入和家庭资产如何影响工人失业后的劳动力供给,为这些研究增加了一个重要的维度。为了探讨家庭的问题,我开发了一个程式化的两期模型,以说明在不确定的环境中,劳动力供给如何响应配偶收入和家庭资产。使用来自健康与退休研究的数据,我使用简化形式的经验规范来测试我的理论模型的预测。与妻子收入较低的失业男性相比,妻子收入较高的失业男性更有可能在失业后退出劳动力市场。同样的效果在老年妇女人群中没有检测到。在这两个群体中,家庭资产较高的失业工人重返劳动力市场的可能性较小。在家庭层面,失业对退休福利有着深远的影响。在更广泛的层面上,老年工人劳动力供给的减少会对财政产生负面影响。
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Household Responses to a Late-Life Job Loss
This paper demonstrates that spousal earnings affect an individual’s decision to retire. I find that husbands with higher-earning spouses are more likely to retire following an involuntary job loss. Earlier studies show that job reduces subsequent employment, earnings, and wealth, but they do not explain why some workers return to work and others do not. I add an important dimension to these studies by considering how spousal earnings and household assets affect a worker’s post-displacement labor supply. To explore the household's problem, I develop a stylized two-period model to illustrate how labor supply responds to spousal earnings and household assets in an uncertain environment. Using data from the Health and Retirement Study, I test my theoretical model's predictions using a reduced-form empirical specification. Relative to displaced men with low-earning spouses, husbands with higher-earning wives are more likely to exit the labor force following displacement. The same effect is not detectable in the population of older women. In both populations, a displaced worker with higher household assets is less likely to return to the labor force. At the household level, job loss as a profound impact on retirement well-being. At a broader level, a reduction in the labor supply of older workers has negative fiscal consequences.
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