模糊聚类方法在模糊时间序列预测中的应用研究

Azher Abbas mohammad Ayad hammad, Mohammed Taha A. AL-gan'nam, KHalaf AL-loheby
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了模糊时间序列预测中的几种模糊聚类方法,特别是Chen方法,并利用FCM方法构造了模糊聚类。本文提出了一种基于重新建立模糊群关系的预测方法,并将该方法应用于以往的一阶和二阶模糊关系预测方法,并将聚类数在5 ~ 11之间的结果进行了比较,得到了M.S.E.小于原方法的最佳预测结果。
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Study on Fuzzy-Clustering Methods in Fuzzy Time Series Forecasting with Application
In this research we study some fuzzy clustering methods in fuzzy time series forecasting especially Chen method and we used a FCM method to construct a fuzzy clustering . we suggest a new method for forecasting based on re-established a fuzzy group relation and we apply the suggest method and comparing the results of pervious methods for first and second order fuzzy relation with the number of clusters between 5 and 11 and we obtained best forecasting with m.s.e. less than the previous method.
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