不良贷款和存款货币银行的财务绩效:来自尼日利亚的经验证据

S. E. Ughulu, Aliyu Mohammed Inobemhe, David Esezobor Ughulu
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摘要

尼日利亚的存款货币银行(dmb)是由尼日利亚中央银行许可的金融机构,从盈余经济单位调动需求和储蓄存款,向赤字经济单位提供贷款,用于投资和消费目的。在履行这一中介职能时,dmb面临多种风险,包括信用风险、市场风险、利率风险、汇率风险等。在这些风险中,信贷风险似乎对银行的财务表现最有害,因为它的发生可以轻易迅速地使银行陷入困境或彻底清算。十多年来,该国的银行一直在经历不断增加的不良贷款组合。这种情况导致银行的财务业绩不佳。正是出于这个原因,本研究试图从实证角度验证某些金融和宏观经济变量对2001年至2021年(即21年)dmb财务绩效的影响。在此过程中,我们将财务业绩分解为资产回报率和股本回报率。因此,在研究中指定了两个独立的模型,分别以资产收益率和股本收益率作为模型中的因变量,而不良贷款、贷款损失准备金、贷款利率、银行规模、货币政策利率和通货膨胀率为自变量。由于研究的数据涵盖了特定的时间范围,因此采用了纵向研究设计。采用完全修正的普通最小二乘和面板数据回归技术对数据进行分析。研究结果显示,不良贷款在资产收益率和股本收益率方面对银行的财务业绩产生了负面影响。因此,有人建议,尽管贷款损失准备金似乎对回报资产和股本回报率有积极影响,但也应扩大,因为这一变量经常被用作减轻贷款损失的战略和有效手段,而且总是用于减轻管理银行的财务业绩。
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Non-performing Loans and Deposit Money Banks’ Financial Performance: Empirical Evidence from Nigeria
Nigeria’s deposit money banks (DMBs) are financial institutions licensed by the Central Bank of Nigeria to mobilize demand and saving deposits from the surplus economic units for on-lending to the deficit economic units for investment and consumption   purposes. In carrying out this intermediation function, DMBs are exposed to several risks including credit risk, market risk, interest rate risk, exchange rate risk, and others. Of these risks, the credit risk seems the most harmful to DMBs’ financial performance as its occurrence can easily and quickly send a bank into distress or outright liquidation. For over a decade now, DMBs in the country have been experiencing continuously increasing nonperforming loans portfolios. This type of scenario had led to poor financial performance among the Banks. It is for this reason that the present study seeks to verify empirically the impact of certain financial and macroeconomic variables on DMBs’ financial performance for the period 2001 to 2021, that is, 21 years. In doing this, we dissected financial performance into return on assets and return on equity. Hence, two separate models were specified in the study with return on asset and   return on equity serving as the dependent variables in each of the models, while non-performing loans, loan-loss provisions, lending rate, bank size, monetary policy rate and inflation rate represented the independent variables. The longitudinal research design was adopted since   the study’s data covered a specific timeframe. The fully modified ordinary least squares and the panel data regression techniques were used to analyze the data. The findings of the study revealed, among others, that non-performing loans exerted a negative impact on the financial performance of the DMBs in terms of return on assets and return on equity. It was, therefore, recommended that provisions for loan losses, even though appeared with positive impact on return assets and return on equity, should to be scaled up as the variable is frequently used as a strategic and effective means for mitigating loans losses and, invariably, the financial performance of the DMBs.
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