台湾东部地区与雪貂獾狂犬病相关的景观与人口特征

Tai-Hwa Shih, Jengtung Chiang, Hung-Yi Wu, W. Tu, Cheng-Ta Tsai, S. Kuo, Chang-Young Fei
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究评估了台湾东部疫区雪貂獾(Melogale moschata)狂犬病发病率与景观特征的关系,该地区自2013年至今一直流行该疾病。本研究纳入2013-2016年59个乡镇报告的268例雪貂獾狂犬病病例。多变量logistic回归分析结果显示,海拔0 ~ 200 m、201 ~ 600 m的乡镇,随着森林面积的增加,各乡镇的雪貂獾狂犬病发病概率呈上升趋势。对于海拔高于600 m的乡镇,相关性为负,这反映在模型拟合的森林变量与海拔变量之间的交互效应上。该模型结合不同土地利用类型、人口密度和乡镇高程测度,可用于估算口腔疫苗接种控制雪貂獾狂犬病优先区域的发病概率。
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The Landscape and Demographic Features Associated with Ferret Badger Rabies in Taiwan East Area
This study evaluated landscape characteristics associated with the incidence of ferret badger (Melogale moschata) rabies in the East Epidemic Area, Taiwan, where the disease has been endemic from 2013 till date. This study included 268 cases of ferret badger rabies reported from 59 townships during 2013-2016. A multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that for townships with elevation between 0 and 200 m, or between 201 and 600 m, the estimated probability of the incidence of ferret badger rabies for each township increases with the rise of forest area. For townships with elevation higher than 600 m, the association is negative, a fact reflected by the interaction effect between variables of forest and elevation fitted in the model. This model provided by the combination of different land use types, human population density and elevation measures of townships, may be used in estimating the incidence probability of prioritizing areas for ferret badger rabies control on oral vaccination.
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