为什么测试?你为什么要为此付出代价?

H. Wainer, Daniel Robinson
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的作者考虑了在任何一种决策中发生的错误的成本。在二元决策中,总是会犯两种错误——当你应该说“不”的时候说“是”(误报),或者当你应该说“是”的时候说“不”(误报)。只有当两种错误的代价相等时,通过简单地将两种错误的数量相加来选择决策策略才是明智的。这种情况很少发生。作者在大学录取和考试的背景下探讨了这些想法。
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Why Testing? Why Should It Cost You?
Abstract The authors of this essay consider the costs of the errors that occur in any kind of decision making. In a binary decision there are always two kinds of errors that can be made – saying ‘yes’ when you should have said ‘no’ (a false positive) or saying ‘no’ when you should have said ‘yes’ (a false negative). Choosing a decision-making strategy by simply adding up the number of each of two kinds of errors is only sensible if the costs of each of the two errors are equal. This is rarely the case. The authors explore these ideas in the context of college admission and testing.
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