消费者选择与总需求:一种理解满足行为影响的ABM方法

Omid Roozmand, Dg Webster
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引用次数: 1

摘要

满意行为是消费者行为研究的重要课题之一。满意的消费者会选择任何价格合理且效用大于满意阈值的商品。这与最大化行为形成对比,在最大化行为中,消费者选择在其预算限制内具有最高可能效用的商品包。作者假设,在其他条件相同的情况下,总体而言,满足者会比最大化者购买更多的商品。此外,满足者也会购买更多的一次性用品,而不是耐用品,因为他们不太关心最大化他们购买的总价值。为了验证这些假设,一个基于代理的消费者行为模型已经被开发出来,该模型允许基于满足或最大化规则的决策。满意代理使用一种改进的遗传算法来找到一个满意的包。最大化代理应用动态规划来找到最佳的项目集。当消费者从三种类型的产品中进行选择时,消费者代理购买的汇总结果支持上述假设:1)廉价一次性产品,2)廉价耐用产品,3)昂贵耐用产品。当基于供给曲线向上倾斜的共同经济假设构建一组更现实的项目时,这些假设也成立。在后一种情况下,消费者从总共5种类型的物品中选择捆绑包,每种类型的价格、质量和耐用性都不同。消费者选择与总需求:一种理解满足行为影响的ABM方法
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Consumer Choice and Aggregate Demand: An ABM Approach to Understanding the Impacts of Satisficing Behavior
Satisficing behavior is one of the most important subjects in consumer behavior studies. Satisficing consumers select any affordable bundle of items with utility larger than their satisfaction threshold. This contrasts to maximizing behavior, where the consumer selects the bundle of items with the highest possible utility within his or her budget constraint. The authors hypothesize that, all else equal, satisficers will purchase more goods overall when compared with maximizers. Furthermore, satisficers will also purchase more disposable rather than durable goods because they are less concerned with maximizing the total value of their purchases. To test these hypotheses, an agent-based model of consumer behavior has been developed that allows for decision making based on either satisficing or maximizing rules. Satisficer agents use a modified genetic algorithm to find a satisficing bundle. Maximizer agents apply dynamic programming to find the best bundle of items. The aggregated results of consumer agents’ purchases support aforementioned hypotheses when consumers select from three types of products: 1) cheap disposable, 2) cheap durable, and 3) expensive durable. The hypotheses also hold when a more realistic set of items is constructed based on the common economic assumption that supply curves are upward sloping. In this latter case, consumers choose bundles from a total of 5 types of items, each of which differs in price, quality, and durability. Consumer Choice and Aggregate Demand: An ABM Approach to Understanding the Impacts of Satisficing Behavior
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