用最小二乘法与单纯形和拟牛顿优化方法对几种概率分布模型的存活率估计进行比较

K. Khan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文用最小二乘估计方法对指数分布、逆高斯分布、Gompertz分布、gumbel分布和Weibull分布等概率分布模型进行了存活率估计、参数估计和方差协方差估计。我们发现这些估计值适用于不存在偏导数的情况以及存在偏导数的情况。在第一种情况下,当偏导数不可用时,我们使用单纯形优化(Nelder and Meads([6],[7])和Hooke and Jeeves([4],[5]))方法;在第一种情况下,当偏导数可用时,我们应用拟牛顿优化(davidon - fletcher - powell (DFP)和Broyden-Fletcher-Goldfarb-Shanno (BFGS)方法。采用时间跨度为35周的21例白血病患者的医疗数据集[3]。
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A Comparison of Survivor Rate Estimates for Some Probability Distribution Models Using Least-Squares Method in Conjunction with Simplex and Quasi-Newton Optimization Methods
In this paper, we find survival rate estimates, parameter estimates, variance covariance for some probability distribution models like, Exponential, Inverse Gaussian, Gompertz, Gumbels and Weibull distributions using least-squares estimation method. We found these estimates for the case when partial derivatives were not available and for the case when partial derivatives were available. The first case when partial derivatives were not available, we used the simplex optimization (Nelder and Meads ([6],[7]) and Hooke and Jeeves ([4],[5])) methods and the case when first partial derivatives were available we applied the Quasi – Newton optimization (Davidon-Fletcher-Powel (DFP) and the Broyden-Fletcher-Goldfarb-Shanno (BFGS) methods. The medical data sets of 21 Leukemia cancer patients with time span of 35 weeks ([3]) were used.
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