Baiq Helmi Susrinda, Wahyu Widodo Putranto
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摘要

从南方涛动指数(SOI)的强度值和SPL的异常值可以看出印尼的降雨变率可能受到拉尼娜等全球现象的影响。这些影响的程度因地而异。珍布拉纳摄政是巴厘岛摄政之一。Jembrana Regency位于8°09'30" - 8°28'02" SL和114°25'53" - 114°56'38" EL。珍布拉那摄政的西部和南部边界是巴厘岛海峡和印度洋,而其东部和北部边界是布莱伦摄政和塔巴南摄政。Jembrana Regency的降雨模式在12月至2月之间是雨季的高峰,在6月至8月之间是旱季的低谷。利用Poh Santen、Rambutsiwi、Palasari和Negara雨站的月降雨量资料,采用描述性统计方法计算了1981-2010年30 a的月平均降雨量。2010年的拉尼娜现象影响了巴厘岛珍布拉纳摄政区超过其平均降雨量的降雨量。2010年的拉尼娜现象对降雨量的影响大于往年的拉尼娜现象。
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Dampak Kejadian La Niña Terhadap Curah Hujan Di Kabupaten Jembrana
Rainfall variability in Indonesia could be affected by global phenomenon like La Nina by looking at the intensity value of Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) and anomaly value of SPL. The amount of these effect varies from one place to another. Jembrana Regency is one of the Regency of Bali Province. Jembrana Regency is located at 8°09'30" - 8°28'02" SL and 114°25'53" - 114°56'38" EL. The west and south border of Jembrana Regency are the sea which are Bali Strait and Indian Ocean, whereas the its east and north border are Buleleng Regency and Tabanan Regency. Rainfall pattern of Jembrana Regency has a peak of the rainy season between December – February and a valley of the dry season between June – August. From monthly rainfall data taken from the rain post of Poh Santen, Rambutsiwi, Palasari and Negara, descriptive statistical method was used to calculate the average monthly rainfall during the period of 30 years during period of 1981-2010. La Nina of 2010 affected the amounts of rainfall that is greater than its average in Jembrana Regency Bali. La Nina of 2010 affected the amounts of rainfall that is greater than La Nina period of the previous years.
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