使用机器学习的市场销售预测

Soham Patangia, R. Mohite, Kevin Shah, Gaurav Kolhe, Madhura Mokashi, Prajakta Rokade
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引用次数: 3

摘要

互联设备、传感器和移动应用程序使零售业成为大数据工具和应用程序的相关测试平台。我们研究大数据是什么,以及大数据在零售业务中的应用。根据我们最新的文献综述,我们确定了零售物流中大数据应用的四个主题:可用性、分类、定价和布局规划。我们对零售商和学者进行的半结构化访谈表明,历史销售数据和忠诚度计划可以用来获得客户洞察力,以制定运营计划,但精细的销售数据也有助于可用性和分类决策。竞争对手的价格和天气状况等外部数据可用于需求预测和定价。然而,利用大数据的道路并非一帆风顺。面临的挑战包括缺乏具备相应技能的人员、缺乏供应商的支持、IT集成问题、管理问题(包括信息共享和流程集成)以及供应链对大数据捕获的实时变化做出响应的物理能力。我们提出了零售企业数据成熟度概况,并强调了未来的研究方向。关联规则是一种数据挖掘技术,用于识别条目之间的关系。必须创建规则来生成新知识,以确定项目集上数据出现的频率,以便通过使用某些算法(例如先验算法)更容易识别每个数据的百分比值。本研究讨论了在规则生成新知识的过程中,使用先验算法的购物篮分析与不使用算法的购物篮分析的比较。比较指标包括概念、创建规则的过程和实现的规则。对比发现,两种方法的概念相同,规则的创建过程不同,但规则本身是相同的。
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Sales Prediction of Market using Machine Learning
Connected devices, sensors, and mobile apps make the retail sector a relevant testbed for big data tools and applications. We investigate how big data is, and can be used in retail operations. Based on our state-of-the-art literature review, we identify four themes for big data applications in retail logistics: availability, assortment, pricing, and layout planning. Our semistructured interviews with retailers and academics suggest that historical sales data and loyalty schemes can be used to obtain customer insights for operational planning, but granular sales data can also benefit availability and assortment decisions. External data such as competitors’ prices and weather conditions can be used for demand forecasting and pricing. However, the path to exploiting big data is not a bed of roses. Challenges include shortages of people with the right set of skills, the lack of support from suppliers, issues in IT integration, managerial concerns including information sharing and process integration, and physical capability of the supply chain to respond to real-time changes captured by big data. We propose a data maturity profile for retail businesses and highlight future research directions. Association Rules is one of the data mining techniques which is used for identifying the relation between one item to another. Creating the rule to generate the new knowledge is a must to determine the frequency of the appearance of the data on the item set so that it is easier to recognize the value of the percentage from each of the datum by using certain algorithms, for example apriori. This research discussed the comparison between market basket analysis by using apriori algorithm and market basket analysis without using algorithm in creating rule to generate the new knowledge. The indicator of comparison included concept, the process of creating the rule, and the achieved rule. The comparison revealed that both methods have the same concept, the different process of creating the rule, but the rule itself remains the same.
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